SC Heerenveen
Eredivisie · 2026SC Heerenveen 2–3 AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
AZ Alkmaar won 2–3.
- Shots
- 14–15
- Shots on target
- 5–8
- Expected goals
- 1.52–1.51
- Possession
- 45%–55%
Full time
What the match recorded
AZ Alkmaar beat SC Heerenveen 3–2. Recorded in this match (SC Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar): shots 14–15, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 1.52–1.51, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
AZ Alkmaar show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateAZ Alkmaar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | AZ Alkmaar | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.2 shots/match | 19.4 shots/match | 13.5 shots/match |
| Shots against | 17.6 shots/match | 9.2 shots/match | 15.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
SC Heerenveen: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.63 xG. AZ Alkmaar: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.53 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Heerenveen 1.63 xG · AZ Alkmaar 1.53 xG.
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Bernt KlaverboerG
- Maas WillemsenD
- Sam KerstenD
- Vasilios ZagaritisD
- Oliver BraudeD
- Dirk Wanner ProperM
- Ringo MeerveldM
- Nolhan CourtensM
- Maxence RiveraF
- Dylan VenteF
- Jacob TrenskowF
- Jari De BusserG
- Wouter GoesD
- Lewis SchoutenD
- Mateo ChávezD
- Elijah DijkstraD
- Peer KoopmeinersM
- Jordy ClasieM
- Dave KwakmanM
- Weslley PatatiF
- Mexx MeerdinkF
- Ro-Zangelo DaalF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: SC Heerenveen favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · AZ Alkmaar in 12 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
SC Heerenveen / AZ Alkmaar
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.