PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard won 2–3.

Shots
118
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.490.55
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat ADO Den Haag 3–2. Recorded in this match (ADO Den Haag – Fortuna Sittard): shots 11–8, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.49–0.55, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

ADO Den Haag have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.8% ●PossessionADO Den Haag · Fortuna Sittard32.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricADO Den HaagFortuna SittardBaseline
Possession48.8%32.4%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Fortuna Sittard show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsADO Den Haag · Fortuna Sittard9.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricADO Den HaagFortuna SittardBaseline
Shots11 shots/match9.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match19.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsADO Den Haag 11 shots, Fortuna Sittard 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsADO Den Haag 3 shots, Fortuna Sittard 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.49 xG0.55 xGADO Den Haag 0.49 xG, Fortuna Sittard 0.55 xG
  • Possession58%42%ADO Den Haag 58%, Fortuna Sittard 42%
  • Corners2 corners0 cornersADO Den Haag 2 corners, Fortuna Sittard 0 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls16 foulsADO Den Haag 17 fouls, Fortuna Sittard 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards4 cardsADO Den Haag 0 cards, Fortuna Sittard 4 cards
  • Passes474 passes358 passesADO Den Haag 474 passes, Fortuna Sittard 358 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.7%79.9%ADO Den Haag 86.7%, Fortuna Sittard 79.9%
  • Shots inside box6 shots5 shotsADO Den Haag 6 shots, Fortuna Sittard 5 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksADO Den Haag 2 blocks, Fortuna Sittard 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveADO Den Haag 2 saves, Fortuna Sittard 1 save
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideADO Den Haag 3 offsides, Fortuna Sittard 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 10′Shiloh 't ZandYellow card · Fortuna Sittard
  2. 29′Mohamed IhattarenGoal · Fortuna Sittard
  3. 34′Lequincio ZeefuikGoal · Fortuna Sittard
  4. Half-time
  5. 58′Jasper DahlhausYellow card · Fortuna Sittard
  6. 59′Yannick EduardoGoal · ADO Den Haag
  7. 62′Mohamed IhattarenGoal · Fortuna Sittard
  8. 90′Jesse BalGoal · ADO Den Haag
  9. 90′Justin HubnerYellow card · Fortuna Sittard
  10. 90′Philip BrittijnYellow card · Fortuna Sittard
  11. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′ADO Den Haag · 2 player changesJonas Jensen-Abbew · Jalen Hawkins
  • 54′ADO Den Haag · 1 player changeJesse Bal
  • 64′ADO Den Haag · 1 player changeLuka Reischl
  • 64′Fortuna Sittard · 1 player changeSyb Van Ottele
  • 73′ADO Den Haag · 1 player changeIllaijh de Ruijter
  • 74′Fortuna Sittard · 1 player changeSyb Van Ottele
  • 83′Fortuna Sittard · 1 player changeNick de Groot

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

ADO Den Haag
  1. Kilian NikièmaG
  2. Othniël RaterinkD
  3. Pascal MulderD
  4. Milan HokkeD
  5. Sekou SyllaD
  6. Evan RottierM
  7. Mylian JimenezM
  8. Juho KiloM
  9. Daryl van MieghemF
  10. Nigel ThomasF
  11. Yannick EduardoF
Fortuna Sittard
  1. Mattijs BranderhorstG
  2. Rodrigo GuthD
  3. Jasper DahlhausD
  4. Ivo PintoD
  5. Philip BrittijnD
  6. Justin HubnerD
  7. Édouard MichutM
  8. Shiloh 't ZandM
  9. Mohamed IhattarenM
  10. Anthony DescotteF
  11. Lequincio ZeefuikF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ADO Den Haag favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Fortuna Sittard in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ADO Den Haag5 matchesFortuna Sittard5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.2 goals/match
2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 0.89 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots5/59.2 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession5/532.4%
4 corners/match ●Corners5/51.8 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsADO Den HaagFortuna Sittard
CompetitionEredivisie
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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