PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid · La Liga

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Real Betis won 1–0.

Shots
1020
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
0.963.16
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis beat Real Madrid 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Betis – Real Madrid): shots 10–20, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 0.96–3.16, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Betis · Real Madrid20 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisReal MadridBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match20 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis, Real Madrid.

6.17 days ▲Rest daysReal Betis · Real Madrid5.17 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal BetisReal MadridBaseline
Rest days6.17 days5.17 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots20 shotsReal Betis 10 shots, Real Madrid 20 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsReal Betis 5 shots, Real Madrid 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG3.16 xGReal Betis 0.96 xG, Real Madrid 3.16 xG
  • Possession42%58%Real Betis 42%, Real Madrid 58%
  • Corners6 corners10 cornersReal Betis 6 corners, Real Madrid 10 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsReal Betis 11 fouls, Real Madrid 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsReal Betis 3 cards, Real Madrid 4 cards
  • Passes412 passes586 passesReal Betis 412 passes, Real Madrid 586 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.1%91.3%Real Betis 87.1%, Real Madrid 91.3%
  • Shots inside box4 shots16 shotsReal Betis 4 shots, Real Madrid 16 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksReal Betis 3 blocks, Real Madrid 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves4 savesReal Betis 6 saves, Real Madrid 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesReal Betis 1 offside, Real Madrid 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 45′Arda GülerYellow card · Real Madrid
  2. Half-time
  3. 54′Ibrahima KonatéYellow card · Real Madrid
  4. 61′Eduardo CamavingaYellow card · Real Madrid
  5. 64′Facundo BernalYellow card · Real Betis
  6. 81′Troy ParrottGoal · Real Betis
  7. 83′Marc RocaYellow card · Real Betis
  8. 87′Carlos EspíGoal · Real Madrid
  9. 90′NatanYellow card · Real Betis
  10. 90′Kylian MbappéPenalty missed · Real Madrid
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 39′Real Betis · 1 player changeMarc Bartra
  • 60′Real Betis · 1 player changeÁlvaro Fidalgo
  • 64′Real Madrid · 1 player changeBernardo Silva
  • 64′Real Madrid · 2 player changesYan Diomande · Trent Alexander-Arnold
  • 68′Real Betis · 1 player changeNelson Deossa
  • 69′Real Betis · 1 player changeTroy Parrott
  • 77′Real Betis · 1 player changeRodrigo Riquelme
  • 82′Real Madrid · 1 player changeCarlos Espí
  • 88′Real Madrid · 1 player changeÁlvaro Carreras

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Real Betis4-2-3-1
  1. Álvaro VallesG
  2. Héctor BellerínD
  3. Diego LlorenteD
  4. NatanD
  5. Fran GarcíaD
  6. Facundo BernalM
  7. Pablo FornalsM
  8. Marc RocaM
  9. AntonyF
  10. Cucho HernándezF
  11. Rodrigo RiquelmeF
Real Madrid4-2-3-1
  1. Thibaut CourtoisG
  2. Dean HuijsenD
  3. Ibrahima KonatéD
  4. Marc CucurellaD
  5. Denzel DumfriesD
  6. Jude BellinghamM
  7. Federico ValverdeM
  8. Bernardo SilvaM
  9. Vinícius JúniorF
  10. Kylian MbappéF
  11. Arda GülerF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Betis
2Draws
2Real Madrid
Real Betis — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Real Madrid — Real Betis · La Liga5–1
Real Betis — Real Madrid · La Liga2–1
Real Madrid — Real Betis · La Liga2–0
Real Madrid — Real Betis · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Betis favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Betis4 matchesReal Madrid4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 2.91 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 20 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 8.75 shots/match
52%Possession4/4● 57.3%
5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 7.75 corners/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal BetisReal Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headReal Betis — Real Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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