PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing de Santander · La Liga

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 3–2.

Shots
169
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
1.50.54
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Racing de Santander 3–2. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Racing de Santander): shots 16–9, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 1.5–0.54, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.25 corners/match ●CornersRayo Vallecano · Racing de Santander5.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRayo VallecanoRacing de SantanderBaseline
Corners6.25 corners/match5.75 corners/match4.83 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsRayo Vallecano 16 shots, Racing de Santander 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsRayo Vallecano 10 shots, Racing de Santander 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG0.54 xGRayo Vallecano 1.5 xG, Racing de Santander 0.54 xG
  • Possession49%51%Rayo Vallecano 49%, Racing de Santander 51%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersRayo Vallecano 9 corners, Racing de Santander 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsRayo Vallecano 15 fouls, Racing de Santander 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsRayo Vallecano 3 cards, Racing de Santander 2 cards
  • Passes384 passes412 passesRayo Vallecano 384 passes, Racing de Santander 412 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.3%80.8%Rayo Vallecano 82.3%, Racing de Santander 80.8%
  • Shots inside box9 shots4 shotsRayo Vallecano 9 shots, Racing de Santander 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksRayo Vallecano 3 blocks, Racing de Santander 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves6 savesRayo Vallecano 2 saves, Racing de Santander 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesRayo Vallecano 1 offside, Racing de Santander 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Óscar ValentínYellow card · Rayo Vallecano
  2. 4′Sergio CanalesGoal · Racing de Santander
  3. 17′Andrei RațiuGoal · Rayo Vallecano
  4. 25′Yassir ZabiriYellow card · Racing de Santander
  5. 28′Pablo GarcíaGoal · Racing de Santander
  6. 35′Iñigo VicenteYellow card · Racing de Santander
  7. 39′Sergio CamelloYellow card · Rayo Vallecano
  8. 43′Sergio CamelloGoal · Rayo Vallecano
  9. Half-time
  10. 47′Sergio CamelloGoal · Rayo Vallecano
  11. 66′Florian LejeuneYellow card · Rayo Vallecano
  12. 86′Fran PérezRed card · Rayo Vallecano
  13. 90′Jorge de FrutosRed card · Rayo Vallecano
  14. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 55′Racing de Santander · 3 player changesAndré Almeida · Jeanuël Belocian · Pablo Ramón
  • 57′Rayo Vallecano · 2 player changesAlemão · Gnangoro Bouaré
  • 65′Rayo Vallecano · 1 player changeFran Pérez
  • 74′Rayo Vallecano · 1 player changeGiorgi Tsitaishvili
  • 75′Rayo Vallecano · 1 player changeIván Balliu
  • 90′Racing de Santander · 2 player changesAarón Martín · Juan Carlos Arana

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Rayo Vallecano4-3-3
  1. Dani CárdenasG
  2. Pathé Ismaël CissD
  3. Adrià PedrosaD
  4. Iván BalliuD
  5. Florian LejeuneD
  6. Unai LópezM
  7. Óscar ValentínM
  8. Gnangoro BouaréM
  9. Sergio CamelloF
  10. Álvaro GarcíaF
  11. Jorge de FrutosF
Racing de Santander4-2-3-1
  1. Julen AgirrezabalaG
  2. Alvaro MantillaD
  3. Manu HernandoD
  4. Pablo RamónD
  5. Jorge SalinasD
  6. Matteo PratiM
  7. Sergio CanalesM
  8. Iván MartínM
  9. Iñigo VicenteF
  10. Pablo GarcíaF
  11. Yassir ZabiriF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Racing de Santander in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano4 matchesRacing de Santander4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.75 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 2 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.23 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 11.3 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44 shots/match
44.8%Possession4/4● 47.3%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/45.75 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRayo VallecanoRacing de Santander
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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