PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Athletic Club 3–0 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 3–0.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.411.02
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Atlético Madrid 3–0. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Atlético Madrid): shots 11–15, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.41–1.02, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletic Club.

5.78 days ▲Rest daysAthletic Club · Atlético Madrid6.78 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAthletic ClubAtlético MadridBaseline
Rest days5.78 days6.78 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletic Club · Atlético Madrid15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match15.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.8%PossessionAthletic Club · Atlético Madrid● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubAtlético MadridBaseline
Possession44.8%56.3%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsAthletic Club 11 shots, Atlético Madrid 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsAthletic Club 4 shots, Atlético Madrid 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG1.02 xGAthletic Club 1.41 xG, Atlético Madrid 1.02 xG
  • Possession38%62%Athletic Club 38%, Atlético Madrid 62%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersAthletic Club 3 corners, Atlético Madrid 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsAthletic Club 8 fouls, Atlético Madrid 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAthletic Club 0 cards, Atlético Madrid 1 card
  • Passes387 passes631 passesAthletic Club 387 passes, Atlético Madrid 631 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.7%90.5%Athletic Club 81.7%, Atlético Madrid 90.5%
  • Shots inside box8 shots10 shotsAthletic Club 8 shots, Atlético Madrid 10 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockAthletic Club 3 blocks, Atlético Madrid 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves1 saveAthletic Club 5 saves, Atlético Madrid 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesAthletic Club 0 offsides, Atlético Madrid 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 39′Kang-in LeeYellow card · Atlético Madrid
  2. Half-time
  3. 46′Nico WilliamsGoal · Athletic Club
  4. 48′Robert NavarroGoal · Athletic Club
  5. 90′Oihan SancetGoal · Athletic Club
  6. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Athletic Club · 1 player changeAitor Paredes
  • 59′Atlético Madrid · 4 player changesArnau Ortiz · Julián Alvarez · Cristian Romero · Koke
  • 60′Athletic Club · 1 player changeMikel Jauregizar
  • 66′Athletic Club · 2 player changesÁlex Berenguer · Johaneko Louis Jean
  • 76′Athletic Club · 1 player changeGorka Guruzeta
  • 76′Atlético Madrid · 1 player changeJohnny Cardoso

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Athletic Club4-2-3-1
  1. Unai SimónG
  2. Aitor ParedesD
  3. Jesús AresoD
  4. Aymeric LaporteD
  5. Yuri BerchicheD
  6. Oihan SancetM
  7. Iñigo Ruiz de GalarretaM
  8. Beñat GerenabarrenaM
  9. Álex BerenguerF
  10. Iñaki WilliamsF
  11. Robert NavarroF
Atlético Madrid4-4-2
  1. Jan OblakG
  2. Marcos LlorenteD
  3. Dávid HanckoD
  4. Marc PubillD
  5. Alejandro GrimaldoD
  6. Pablo BarriosM
  7. Ademola LookmanM
  8. Giuliano SimeoneM
  9. Morten HjulmandM
  10. Kang-in LeeF
  11. Alex BaenaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletic Club
0Draws
4Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga3–2
Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–0
Atlético Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0
Athletic Club — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–1
Atlético Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club4 matchesAtlético Madrid4 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.89 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 15.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 5 shots/match
44.8%Possession4/4● 56.3%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/45.25 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headAthletic Club — Atlético Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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