PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club · La Liga

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 0–2.

Shots
817
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.562.64
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo 2–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Athletic Club): shots 8–17, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.56–2.64, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Celta Vigo, Athletic Club.

3.04 days ▲Rest daysCelta Vigo · Athletic Club3.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCelta VigoAthletic ClubBaseline
Rest days3.04 days3.02 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Celta Vigo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Celta Vigo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

6.33 shots/match ▲ShotsCelta Vigo · Athletic Club13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCelta VigoAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots6.33 shots/match13.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots17 shotsCelta Vigo 8 shots, Athletic Club 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsCelta Vigo 2 shots, Athletic Club 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.56 xG2.64 xGCelta Vigo 0.56 xG, Athletic Club 2.64 xG
  • Possession54%46%Celta Vigo 54%, Athletic Club 46%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersCelta Vigo 4 corners, Athletic Club 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls17 foulsCelta Vigo 8 fouls, Athletic Club 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsCelta Vigo 0 cards, Athletic Club 3 cards
  • Passes576 passes492 passesCelta Vigo 576 passes, Athletic Club 492 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.7%87.2%Celta Vigo 87.7%, Athletic Club 87.2%
  • Shots inside box6 shots12 shotsCelta Vigo 6 shots, Athletic Club 12 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockCelta Vigo 1 block, Athletic Club 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesCelta Vigo 5 saves, Athletic Club 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesCelta Vigo 3 offsides, Athletic Club 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 20′Álex BerenguerGoal · Athletic Club
  2. 22′Robert NavarroGoal · Athletic Club
  3. Half-time
  4. 48′Yuri BerchicheYellow card · Athletic Club
  5. 61′Robert NavarroYellow card · Athletic Club
  6. 71′Beñat GerenabarrenaYellow card · Athletic Club
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Celta Vigo · 4 player changesIago Aspas · Miguel Román · Yoel Lago · Javier Rueda
  • 57′Celta Vigo · 1 player changeHugo Álvarez
  • 65′Athletic Club · 3 player changesMikel Jauregizar · Peio Canales · Gorka Guruzeta
  • 74′Athletic Club · 1 player changeNico Williams
  • 86′Athletic Club · 1 player changeJohaneko Louis Jean

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Celta Vigo
1Draws
2Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga2–0
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga1–2
Athletic Club — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–1
Celta Vigo — Athletic Club · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo3 matchesAthletic Club3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1 goal/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
0.45 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.38 xG/match
6.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 13.3 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession3/347%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7.33 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoAthletic Club
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headCelta Vigo — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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