PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

5–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 5–2.

Shots
2611
Shots on target
95
Expected goals
2.831.09
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Rayo Vallecano 5–2. Recorded in this match (Barcelona – Rayo Vallecano): shots 26–11, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 2.83–1.09, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match ▲ShotsBarcelona · Rayo Vallecano8.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots19.7 shots/match8.33 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against7.67 shots/match18 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.3% ●PossessionBarcelona · Rayo Vallecano43.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Possession64.3%43.3%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.33 corners/match ●CornersBarcelona · Rayo Vallecano5.33 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Corners7.33 corners/match5.33 corners/match4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots11 shotsBarcelona 26 shots, Rayo Vallecano 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots5 shotsBarcelona 9 shots, Rayo Vallecano 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.83 xG1.09 xGBarcelona 2.83 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.09 xG
  • Possession69%31%Barcelona 69%, Rayo Vallecano 31%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersBarcelona 9 corners, Rayo Vallecano 5 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls11 foulsBarcelona 4 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardBarcelona 0 cards, Rayo Vallecano 1 card
  • Passes646 passes284 passesBarcelona 646 passes, Rayo Vallecano 284 passes
  • Pass accuracy90.3%73.9%Barcelona 90.3%, Rayo Vallecano 73.9%
  • Shots inside box17 shots7 shotsBarcelona 17 shots, Rayo Vallecano 7 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks2 blocksBarcelona 7 blocks, Rayo Vallecano 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesBarcelona 3 saves, Rayo Vallecano 5 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesBarcelona 3 offsides, Rayo Vallecano 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 12′Sergio CamelloGoal · Rayo Vallecano
  2. 19′RaphinhaGoal · Barcelona
  3. 21′Lamine YamalGoal · Barcelona
  4. 45′Jules KoundéGoal · Barcelona
  5. Half-time
  6. 51′Florian LejeuneGoal · Rayo Vallecano
  7. 59′Sergio CamelloGoal · Rayo Vallecano
  8. 71′RaphinhaGoal · Barcelona
  9. 90′Adrià PedrosaYellow card · Rayo Vallecano
  10. 90′Lamine YamalGoal · Barcelona
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 33′Rayo Vallecano · 1 player changeAdrià Pedrosa
  • 57′Rayo Vallecano · 1 player changePedro Díaz
  • 58′Rayo Vallecano · 1 player changeFran Pérez
  • 64′Barcelona · 2 player changesFermín López · Rodri
  • 75′Rayo Vallecano · 2 player changesAlemão · Randy Nteka
  • 77′Barcelona · 1 player changeKarim Adeyemi
  • 78′Barcelona · 1 player changeJoão Cancelo
  • 86′Barcelona · 1 player changeHamza Abdelkarim

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Barcelona
1Draws
0Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Rayo Vallecano — Barcelona · La Liga1–1
Barcelona — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0
Rayo Vallecano — Barcelona · La Liga1–2
Barcelona — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barcelona favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barcelona3 matchesRayo Vallecano3 matches
4 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
3.62 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.17 xG/match
19.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/38.33 shots/match
8.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.67 shots/match
64.3% ●Possession3/343.3%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners3/35.33 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/314.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 31 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBarcelonaRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headBarcelona — Rayo Vallecano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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