PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2026

Real Madrid 2–1 Inter · UEFA Champions League

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 2–1.

Shots
1621
Shots on target
87
Expected goals
2.911.78
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Inter 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Inter): shots 16–21, shots on target 8–7, expected goals 2.91–1.78, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots21 shotsReal Madrid 16 shots, Inter 21 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots7 shotsReal Madrid 8 shots, Inter 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.91 xG1.78 xGReal Madrid 2.91 xG, Inter 1.78 xG
  • Possession36%64%Real Madrid 36%, Inter 64%
  • Corners4 corners11 cornersReal Madrid 4 corners, Inter 11 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsReal Madrid 12 fouls, Inter 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsReal Madrid 1 card, Inter 3 cards
  • Passes352 passes621 passesReal Madrid 352 passes, Inter 621 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.7%94%Real Madrid 86.7%, Inter 94%
  • Shots inside box14 shots15 shotsReal Madrid 14 shots, Inter 15 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks5 blocksReal Madrid 3 blocks, Inter 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves6 savesReal Madrid 7 saves, Inter 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides4 offsidesReal Madrid 2 offsides, Inter 4 offsides

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Real Madrid4-2-3-1
  1. Thibaut CourtoisG
  2. Dean HuijsenD
  3. Ibrahima KonatéD
  4. Marc CucurellaD
  5. Denzel DumfriesD
  6. Jude BellinghamM
  7. Federico ValverdeM
  8. Brahim DíazM
  9. Vinícius JúniorF
  10. Kylian MbappéF
  11. Yan DiomandeF
Inter3-5-2
  1. Josep MartínezG
  2. Andy DioufD
  3. Manuel AkanjiD
  4. Carlos AugustoD
  5. Yann BisseckD
  6. Alessandro BastoniD
  7. Hakan ÇalhanoğluM
  8. Curtis JonesM
  9. Nicolò BarellaM
  10. Marcus ThuramF
  11. Lautaro MartínezF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Madrid
0Draws
0Inter
Real Madrid — Inter · UEFA Champions League2–0
Inter — Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Real Madrid1 matches
  • Inter1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Real Madrid

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Season
2025/26
Sample
14 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
30 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.36 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.43 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.22 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.65 xG/match
  • Shots17.4 shots/match
  • Shots allowed15.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target6.93 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed6.57 shots/match
  • Possession53.6%
  • Corners5.71 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.07 corners/match
  • Fouls10.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency29%
  • Scoring frequency93%

Inter

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Season
2025/26
Sample
10 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
30 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.7 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.2 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.95 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.09 xG/match
  • Shots18 shots/match
  • Shots allowed10 shots/match
  • Shots on target5.4 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.1 shots/match
  • Possession57.4%
  • Corners6.1 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.5 corners/match
  • Fouls10.7 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency40%
  • Scoring frequency90%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 8 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal MadridInter
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
Head-to-headReal Madrid — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this