PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Inter 3–2 Napoli · Serie A

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Inter won 3–2.

Shots
2916
Shots on target
87
Expected goals
3.192.24
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Napoli 3–2. Recorded in this match (Inter – Napoli): shots 29–16, shots on target 8–7, expected goals 3.19–2.24, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

24.3 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Napoli14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterNapoliBaseline
Shots24.3 shots/match14 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match20.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

66% ●PossessionInter · Napoli44.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInterNapoliBaseline
Possession66%44.3%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots29 shots16 shotsInter 29 shots, Napoli 16 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots7 shotsInter 8 shots, Napoli 7 shots
  • Expected goals3.19 xG2.24 xGInter 3.19 xG, Napoli 2.24 xG
  • Possession63%37%Inter 63%, Napoli 37%
  • Corners10 corners5 cornersInter 10 corners, Napoli 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls7 foulsInter 7 fouls, Napoli 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsInter 1 card, Napoli 2 cards
  • Passes541 passes341 passesInter 541 passes, Napoli 341 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.5%77.4%Inter 89.5%, Napoli 77.4%
  • Shots inside box20 shots13 shotsInter 20 shots, Napoli 13 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks5 blocksInter 7 blocks, Napoli 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves5 savesInter 6 saves, Napoli 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesInter 1 offside, Napoli 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 35′Antonio VergaraYellow card · Napoli
  2. Half-time
  3. 50′Matteo PolitanoGoal · Napoli
  4. 53′Rasmus HøjlundGoal · Napoli
  5. 56′Lautaro MartínezGoal · Inter
  6. 68′Lautaro MartínezYellow card · Inter
  7. 77′Rafa MarínYellow card · Napoli
  8. 82′Marcus ThuramGoal · Inter
  9. 90′Lautaro MartínezGoal · Inter
  10. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Inter · 2 player changesMarcus Thuram · Curtis Jones
  • 62′Napoli · 2 player changesDavid Neres · Kevin De Bruyne
  • 62′Inter · 1 player changeCarlos Augusto
  • 72′Napoli · 1 player changeLorenzo Lucca
  • 72′Inter · 1 player changeHakan Çalhanoğlu
  • 79′Inter · 1 player changeAnge-Yoan Bonny
  • 79′Napoli · 1 player changeBilly Gilmour
  • 80′Napoli · 1 player changeBenoît Badiashile

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Inter3-5-2
  1. Josep MartínezG
  2. Andy DioufD
  3. Manuel AkanjiD
  4. Yann BisseckD
  5. Federico DimarcoD
  6. Alessandro BastoniD
  7. Piotr ZielińskiM
  8. Hakan ÇalhanoğluM
  9. Nicolò BarellaM
  10. Lautaro MartínezF
  11. Pio EspositoF
Napoli4-3-3
  1. Alex MeretG
  2. Amir RrahmaniD
  3. Rafa MarínD
  4. Giovanni Di LorenzoD
  5. Leonardo SpinazzolaD
  6. Antonio VergaraM
  7. Stanislav LobotkaM
  8. Frank AnguissaM
  9. Rasmus HøjlundF
  10. Matteo PolitanoF
  11. Alisson SantosF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Inter
4Draws
1Napoli
Inter — Napoli · Serie A2–2
Napoli — Inter · Serie A3–1
Napoli — Inter · Serie A1–1
Inter — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Inter — Napoli · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Napoli in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter3 matchesNapoli3 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
2.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.45 xG/match
24.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/314 shots/match
6.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match
66% ●Possession3/344.3%
6.33 corners/match ●Corners3/34 corners/match
5.67 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterNapoli
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headInter — Napoli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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