Roma 2–1 Atalanta · Serie A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Roma won 2–1.
- Shots
- 39–6
- Shots on target
- 10–2
- Expected goals
- 3.24–0.78
- Possession
- 67%–33%
Full time
What the match recorded
Roma beat Atalanta 2–1. Recorded in this match (Roma – Atalanta): shots 39–6, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 3.24–0.78, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakRoma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Roma | Atalanta | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 23.7 shots/match | 8.67 shots/match | 15 shots/match |
| Shots against | 7.33 shots/match | 25.7 shots/match | 14.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakRoma have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.3 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Roma | Atalanta | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 64% | 43.7% | 49% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Both teams have elevated fouls records
weakEach team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Roma | Atalanta | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 10.7 fouls/match | 9.67 fouls/match | 8.67 fouls/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- Half-time
- 47′ÉdersonGoal · Atalanta
- 84′Raoul BellanovaYellow card · Atalanta
- 89′Mario HermosoGoal · Roma
- 90′Matías SouléGoal · Roma
- Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
- 46′Atalanta · 1 player changeNikola Krstović
- 54′Roma · 2 player changesNahuel Molina · Matías Soulé
- 62′Roma · 1 player changeDaniele Ghilardi
- 63′Roma · 1 player changeSantiago Castro
- 66′Atalanta · 2 player changesMario Pašalić · Nicola Zalewski
- 67′Roma · 1 player changeLeonardo Balerdi
- 73′Atalanta · 1 player changeDavide Zappacosta
- 79′Atalanta · 1 player changeFranck Kessié
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Mile SvilarG
- Evan NdickaD
- Nahuel MolinaD
- Mario HermosoD
- Gianluca ManciniD
- WesleyD
- Bryan CristanteM
- Manu KonéM
- Donyell MalenF
- Paulo DybalaF
- Rodrigo MoraF
- Marco CarnesecchiG
- Raoul BellanovaD
- Thomas KristensenD
- Giorgio ScalviniD
- Lorenzo BernasconiD
- Lazar SamardžićM
- ÉdersonM
- Gianluca GaetanoM
- Gianluca ScamaccaF
- Jonathan RoweF
- Charles De KetelaereF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Roma favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atalanta in 0 · 13 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Roma / Atalanta
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Team rankings in Serie A
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