PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

SV 07 Elversberg 1–2 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 1–2.

Shots
528
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.942.42
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat SV 07 Elversberg 2–1. Recorded in this match (SV 07 Elversberg – FC Bayern München): shots 5–28, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.94–2.42, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV 07 Elversberg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SV 07 Elversberg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsSV 07 Elversberg · FC Bayern München21.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV 07 ElversbergFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots10 shots/match21.3 shots/match15.7 shots/match
Shots against24.7 shots/match6.67 shots/match17.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.7%PossessionSV 07 Elversberg · FC Bayern München● 71.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 34.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSV 07 ElversbergFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession36.7%71.3%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots28 shotsSV 07 Elversberg 5 shots, FC Bayern München 28 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsSV 07 Elversberg 1 shot, FC Bayern München 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG2.42 xGSV 07 Elversberg 0.94 xG, FC Bayern München 2.42 xG
  • Possession28%72%SV 07 Elversberg 28%, FC Bayern München 72%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersSV 07 Elversberg 3 corners, FC Bayern München 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsSV 07 Elversberg 9 fouls, FC Bayern München 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsSV 07 Elversberg 2 cards, FC Bayern München 0 cards
  • Passes321 passes822 passesSV 07 Elversberg 321 passes, FC Bayern München 822 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.3%91.7%SV 07 Elversberg 76.3%, FC Bayern München 91.7%
  • Shots inside box3 shots16 shotsSV 07 Elversberg 3 shots, FC Bayern München 16 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block12 blocksSV 07 Elversberg 1 block, FC Bayern München 12 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves0 savesSV 07 Elversberg 3 saves, FC Bayern München 0 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesSV 07 Elversberg 2 offsides, FC Bayern München 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Francis OnyekaYellow card · SV 07 Elversberg
  2. 26′Lennart KarlGoal · FC Bayern München
  3. Half-time
  4. 61′Maurice KrattenmacherGoal · SV 07 Elversberg
  5. 63′Felix KeidelYellow card · SV 07 Elversberg
  6. 72′Harry KaneGoal · FC Bayern München
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 11′SV 07 Elversberg · 1 player changeNoah Darvich
  • 46′SV 07 Elversberg · 1 player changeMaurice Krattenmacher
  • 65′FC Bayern München · 4 player changesJamal Musiala · Luis Díaz · Joshua Kimmich · Alphonso Davies
  • 73′SV 07 Elversberg · 2 player changesNoel Futkeu · Amara Condé
  • 83′SV 07 Elversberg · 1 player changeLuca Schnellbacher

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

SV 07 Elversberg4-2-3-1
  1. Nicolas KristofG
  2. Lukas Finn PinckertD
  3. Lasse GüntherD
  4. Jan GyamerahD
  5. Maximilian RohrD
  6. Łukasz PorębaM
  7. Francis OnyekaM
  8. Felix KeidelM
  9. Lukas PetkovF
  10. Cole CampbellF
  11. David MokwaF
FC Bayern München4-2-3-1
  1. Manuel NeuerG
  2. Dayot UpamecanoD
  3. Kim Min-jaeD
  4. Nathaniel BrownD
  5. Josip StanišićD
  6. Joshua KimmichM
  7. Ismael SaibariM
  8. Aleksandar PavlovićM
  9. Harry KaneF
  10. Luis DíazF
  11. Michael OliseF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV 07 Elversberg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV 07 Elversberg3 matchesFC Bayern München3 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/32.33 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.82 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 21.3 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 6.67 shots/match
36.7%Possession3/3● 71.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 9.67 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV 07 ElversbergFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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