PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Manchester City 1–0 Coventry City · Premier League

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 1–0.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.811.21
Possession
78%22%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Coventry City 1–0. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Coventry City): shots 15–12, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.81–1.21, possession 78%–22%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coventry City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Coventry City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Coventry City9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityCoventry CityBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match9 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against8.67 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

72% ●PossessionManchester City · Coventry City42%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 30.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityCoventry CityBaseline
Possession72%42%46.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsManchester City 15 shots, Coventry City 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsManchester City 4 shots, Coventry City 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG1.21 xGManchester City 1.81 xG, Coventry City 1.21 xG
  • Possession78%22%Manchester City 78%, Coventry City 22%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersManchester City 4 corners, Coventry City 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls17 foulsManchester City 7 fouls, Coventry City 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsManchester City 1 card, Coventry City 2 cards
  • Passes801 passes217 passesManchester City 801 passes, Coventry City 217 passes
  • Pass accuracy91.6%64.1%Manchester City 91.6%, Coventry City 64.1%
  • Shots inside box14 shots8 shotsManchester City 14 shots, Coventry City 8 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks3 blocksManchester City 6 blocks, Coventry City 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesManchester City 3 saves, Coventry City 2 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides2 offsidesManchester City 5 offsides, Coventry City 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Loum Tchaouna · Coventry City · 89′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Manchester City · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Manchester City · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Manchester City · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Manchester City · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatt Grimes · Coventry City · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Manchester City · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Manchester City · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Manchester City · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Manchester City · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBobby Thomas · Coventry City · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Coventry City · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Coventry City · 70′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRayan Cherki · Manchester City · 23′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 26′ · 0.13 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 73′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 16′ · 0.17 xG · on targetTaiwo Awoniyi · Coventry City · 8′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedJack Rudoni · Coventry City · 24′ · 0.27 xG · on targetEllis Simms · Coventry City · 80′ · 0.27 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.48 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 78′ · 0.52 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.85 xG. Coventry City: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 1.85 xG · Coventry City 1.19 xG.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Manchester City4-2-3-1
  1. Gianluigi DonnarummaG
  2. Rúben DiasD
  3. Marc GuéhiD
  4. Joško GvardiolD
  5. Matheus NunesD
  6. Elliot AndersonM
  7. Rayan CherkiM
  8. Nico O'ReillyM
  9. Erling HaalandF
  10. Antoine SemenyoF
  11. Phil FodenF
Coventry City4-3-3
  1. Carl RushworthG
  2. Jay DaSilvaD
  3. Bobby ThomasD
  4. Aurèle AmendaD
  5. Milan van EwijkD
  6. Matt GrimesM
  7. Caleb YirenkyiM
  8. Frank OnyekaM
  9. Taiwo AwoniyiF
  10. Loum TchaounaF
  11. Brandon Thomas-AsanteF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Coventry City in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City3 matchesCoventry City3 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
1.87 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.92 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/39 shots/match
6.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match
72% ●Possession3/342%
6 corners/match ●Corners3/34.33 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityCoventry City
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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