PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Fulham 2–3 Crystal Palace · Premier League

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Crystal Palace won 2–3.

Shots
2510
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
3.131.97
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Crystal Palace beat Fulham 3–2. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Crystal Palace): shots 25–10, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 3.13–1.97, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFulham · Crystal Palace10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFulhamCrystal PalaceBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match10 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match19.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Fulham have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3% ●PossessionFulham · Crystal Palace40.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFulhamCrystal PalaceBaseline
Possession61.3%40.3%46.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots10 shotsFulham 25 shots, Crystal Palace 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsFulham 6 shots, Crystal Palace 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.13 xG1.97 xGFulham 3.13 xG, Crystal Palace 1.97 xG
  • Possession65%35%Fulham 65%, Crystal Palace 35%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerFulham 7 corners, Crystal Palace 1 corner
  • Fouls6 fouls7 foulsFulham 6 fouls, Crystal Palace 7 fouls
  • Passes672 passes369 passesFulham 672 passes, Crystal Palace 369 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.7%78.3%Fulham 88.7%, Crystal Palace 78.3%
  • Shots inside box22 shots7 shotsFulham 22 shots, Crystal Palace 7 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks2 blocksFulham 9 blocks, Crystal Palace 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves5 savesFulham 2 saves, Crystal Palace 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside6 offsidesFulham 1 offside, Crystal Palace 6 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 11′Joshua KingGoal · Fulham
  2. 35′Tyrick MitchellGoal · Crystal Palace
  3. 42′César PalaciosGoal · Fulham
  4. Half-time
  5. 54′Tyrick MitchellGoal · Crystal Palace
  6. 77′Ben ChilwellGoal · Crystal Palace
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Crystal Palace · 1 player changeJørgen Strand Larsen
  • 62′Fulham · 1 player changeSander Berge
  • 74′Crystal Palace · 2 player changesBen Chilwell · Will Hughes
  • 79′Fulham · 3 player changesRyan Sessegnon · Emile Smith Rowe · Hugo Larsson
  • 83′Fulham · 1 player changeRodrigo Muniz
  • 89′Crystal Palace · 2 player changesDarío Osorio · Óscar Mingueza

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Fulham4-2-3-1
  1. Bernd LenoG
  2. Calvin BasseyD
  3. Joachim AndersenD
  4. Timothy CastagneD
  5. Antonee RobinsonD
  6. Sander BergeM
  7. Alex IwobiM
  8. Joshua KingM
  9. Gonzalo GarcíaF
  10. César PalaciosF
  11. Oscar BobbF
Crystal Palace3-4-2-1
  1. Dean HendersonG
  2. Tyrick MitchellD
  3. Axel DisasiD
  4. Jaydee CanvotD
  5. Anan KhalailiD
  6. Chris RichardsD
  7. Daichi KamadaM
  8. Adam WhartonM
  9. Eddie NketiahF
  10. Yéremy PinoF
  11. Jørgen Strand LarsenF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fulham
2Draws
2Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Fulham · Premier League1–1
Fulham — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–2
Fulham — Crystal Palace · Premier League0–2
Crystal Palace — Fulham · Premier League0–2
Fulham — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham3 matchesCrystal Palace3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
1.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.53 xG/match
16.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/310 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.33 shots/match
61.3% ●Possession3/340.3%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners3/31 corner/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamCrystal Palace
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFulham — Crystal Palace
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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