PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 4 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusSporting
Shots18 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals1.53 xG/match▲0.21 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners6 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Manuel Locatelli · Juventus · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 50′ · 0.01 xG · on targetWeston McKennie · Juventus · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeny Catamo · Sporting · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFilip Kostić · Juventus · 86′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFilip Kostić · Juventus · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetManuel Locatelli · Juventus · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFilip Kostić · Juventus · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting · 12′ · 0.04 xG · goalFrancisco Trincão · Sporting · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 17′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKhéphren Thuram · Juventus · 63′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Conceição · Juventus · 40′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 19′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJonathan David · Juventus · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 34′ · 0.53 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 18 shots, 9 on target, 1.50 xG. Sporting: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Dušan Vlahović · Juventus · 34′Maximiliano Araújo · Sporting · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.50 xG · Sporting 0.13 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Sporting in 0 · 14 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.73 xG/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/40.91 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.8 shots/match
14.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/412.3 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.75 shots/match
47.8%Possessionseason · 4/454%
5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/43.25 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.25 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
16.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus36.9
Sporting70.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus67.8
Sporting51.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus28.8
Sporting55.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus79.8
Sporting20.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus94
Sporting64.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus61.9
Sporting13.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus75.6
Sporting40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.25 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.73 xG/match
15.8 shots/match▲Shots4/411.8 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45 shots/match
47.8%Possession4/454%
5 corners/matchCorners4/43.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.25 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.73 xG/match
15.8 shots/match▲Shots4/411.8 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45 shots/match
47.8%Possession4/454%
5 corners/matchCorners4/43.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.25 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.73 xG/match
15.8 shots/match▲Shots4/411.8 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45 shots/match
47.8%Possession4/454%
5 corners/matchCorners4/43.25 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
—Goals scored2/2—
—Goals allowed2/2—
—Expected goals2/2—
—Shots2/2—
—Shots on target2/2—
—Possession2/2—
—Corners2/2—
—Cards0/0—
—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsJuventusSporting
CompetitionUEFA Champions League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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