PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting 2–0 FC Alverca · Primeira Liga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 2–0.

Shots
278
Shots on target
80
Expected goals
2.470.23
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Alverca 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sporting CP – Alverca): shots 27–8, shots on target 8–0, expected goals 2.47–0.23, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.5 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting CP · Alverca9.09 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPAlvercaBaseline
Shots20.5 shots/match9.09 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against7.9 shots/match13 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Alverca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alverca's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Sporting CP have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3% ●PossessionSporting CP · Alverca44.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPAlvercaBaseline
Possession61.3%44.8%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots8 shotsSporting 27 shots, FC Alverca 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots0 shotsSporting 8 shots, FC Alverca 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.47 xG0.23 xGSporting 2.47 xG, FC Alverca 0.23 xG
  • Possession67%33%Sporting 67%, FC Alverca 33%
  • Corners10 corners0 cornersSporting 10 corners, FC Alverca 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsSporting 9 fouls, FC Alverca 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardSporting 1 card, FC Alverca 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Morten Hjulmand · Sporting CP · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximiliano Araújo · Sporting CP · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorgios Vagiannidis · Sporting CP · 66′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeovany Quenda · Sporting CP · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 74′ · 0.02 xG · goalDavy Gui · Alverca · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Amorim · Alverca · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlisson Santos · Sporting CP · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNabil Touaizi · Alverca · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Sporting CP · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Sporting CP · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavy Gui · Alverca · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDavy Gui · Alverca · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 19′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 25′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Simões · Sporting CP · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 5′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 23′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Inácio · Sporting CP · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Inácio · Sporting CP · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlisson Santos · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 18′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJoão Simões · Sporting CP · 16′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJoão Simões · Sporting CP · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diomande · Sporting CP · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJoão Simões · Sporting CP · 45′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 2′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedFotis Ioannidis · Sporting CP · 68′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting CP: 27 shots, 8 on target, 2.48 xG. Alverca: 8 shots, 0 on target, 0.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Fotis Ioannidis · Sporting CP · 68′Pedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting CP 2.48 xG · Alverca 0.25 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · FC Alverca in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting10 matchesFC Alverca11 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/111.27 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/111.73 goals/match
2.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.2 xG/match
20.5 shots/match ▲Shots10/119.09 shots/match
7.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/113.55 shots/match
61.3% ●Possession10/1144.8%
7.2 corners/match ●Corners10/112.45 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards10/102.8 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1112.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSportingFC Alverca
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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