UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 28 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

WLWDL

0–2Full-time recap

Inter

WWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Inter
Shots	9 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.94 xG/match	0.94 xG/match
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	5 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.92 xG. Inter: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 0.92 xG · Inter 0.94 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.38 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	2.38 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

weak

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.3 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Inter16.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Inter	Baseline
Shots	11.8 shots/match	16.9 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	12.4 shots/match	10.6 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Inter in 8 · 4 too close

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 8/81.88 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.88 goals/match

1.67 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲2 xG/match

1.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/8▲0.99 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲16.9 shots/match

12.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲10.6 shots/match

5.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/85.38 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.75 shots/match

54.4%Possessionseason · 8/855.6%

4.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.25 corners/match

3.13 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/83.88 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/811.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲50%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund75

Inter84.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund58

Inter71.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund34.8

Inter83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund13.1

Inter67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund51.2

Inter48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund47.6

Inter66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund46.4

Inter66.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.24 xG/match

12.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.8 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

54.2%Possession5/554.8%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.88 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.88 goals/match

1.67 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲2 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲16.9 shots/match

5.13 shots/matchShots on target8/85.38 shots/match

54.4%Possession8/855.6%

4.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls8/811.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches

2.38 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.88 goals/match

2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.88 goals/match

1.67 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲2 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲16.9 shots/match

5.13 shots/matchShots on target8/85.38 shots/match

54.4%Possession8/855.6%

4.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls8/811.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored4/42.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲0.5 goals/match

2.13 xG/match▲Expected goals4/42.02 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲16 shots/match

6.5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/45.5 shots/match

56.8%Possession4/455.3%

5.5 corners/matchCorners4/44.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls4/411.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4