Serie A · 2025Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese 0–2 Inter · Serie A

0–2Historical match

Inter

WDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 0–2.

Shots
915
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.61.34
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Cremonese 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cremonese – Inter): shots 9–15, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.6–1.34, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cremonese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cremonese's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.57 shots/match ▲ShotsCremonese · Inter18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseInterBaseline
Shots8.57 shots/match18.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match8.39 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.5%PossessionCremonese · Inter● 60.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCremoneseInterBaseline
Possession45.5%60.2%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsCremonese 9 shots, Inter 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsCremonese 3 shots, Inter 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.6 xG1.34 xGCremonese 0.6 xG, Inter 1.34 xG
  • Possession31%69%Cremonese 31%, Inter 69%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersCremonese 1 corner, Inter 6 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls14 foulsCremonese 19 fouls, Inter 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsCremonese 3 cards, Inter 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPiotr Zieliński · Inter · 31′ · 0.02 xG · goalLuís Henrique · Inter · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Cremonese · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Baschirotto · Cremonese · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRomano Floriani Mussolini · Cremonese · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPetar Sučić · Inter · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 52′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Cremonese · 89′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlessio Zerbin · Cremonese · 84′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 20′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFederico Ceccherini · Cremonese · 18′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 80′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFrancesco Pio Esposito · Inter · 8′ · 0.14 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 16′ · 0.16 xG · goalDavide Frattesi · Inter · 28′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cremonese: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.59 xG. Inter: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 16′Piotr Zieliński · Inter · 31′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cremonese 0.59 xG · Inter 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cremonese
0Draws
3Inter
Inter — Cremonese · Serie A4–1
Cremonese — Inter · Serie A1–2
Inter — Cremonese · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cremonese favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cremonese23 matchesInter23 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.26 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.83 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.98 xG/match
8.57 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 18.2 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 6.04 shots/match
45.5%Possession23/23● 60.2%
3.22 corners/matchCorners23/23● 6.87 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards23/231.52 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2314.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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