PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeStadio Giuseppe SinigagliaFull-time recap

Como

WDLWW
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricComoAtalanta
Shots28 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession79%21%
Corners7 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta have a visible away split

moderate

Atalanta's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Como
1Draws
0Atalanta
Atalanta — Como · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Como favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Atalanta in 2 · 5 too close

1.61 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 23/231.3 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/230.87 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
14.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2314.1 shots/match
9.83 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2311.7 shots/match
5.35 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/234.39 shots/match
3.52 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/234.04 shots/match
62%Possessionseason · 23/2354.1%
4.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/235.39 corners/match
3.35 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/234.83 corners/match
2.39 cards/matchCardsseason · 23/23▲1.57 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
52%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2339%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/23▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Como97.5
Atalanta67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Como89.2
Atalanta72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Como87.5
Atalanta65.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Como27.5
Atalanta67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Como75
Atalanta17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Como47.5
Atalanta90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Como70
Atalanta64.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.2 shots/match▲Shots5/513 shots/match
6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
66.2%Possession5/545.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1013 shots/match
5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.4 shots/match
63.3%Possession10/1051.3%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105 corners/match
2.3 cards/matchCards10/101.5 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
1.61 goals/match▲Goals scored23/231.3 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/230.87 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/matchShots23/2314.1 shots/match
5.35 shots/match▲Shots on target23/234.39 shots/match
62%Possession23/2354.1%
4.13 corners/matchCorners23/235.39 corners/match
2.39 cards/matchCards23/231.57 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 11 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored12/111.09 goals/match
0.58 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/111 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.9 shots/match▲Shots12/1111.4 shots/match
6.33 shots/match▲Shots on target12/113.55 shots/match
62.9%Possession12/1153.5%
4.42 corners/matchCorners12/114.27 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards12/111.91 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1111.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsComoAtalanta
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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