Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 17:10 UTCFull timeDe AdelaarshorstFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGo Ahead EaglesFC Volendam
Shots19 shots/match19 shots/match
Shots on target13 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals2.01 xG/match1.2 xG/match
Possession46%54%
Corners7 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Melle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNick Verschuren · FC Volendam · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRobert Mühren · FC Volendam · 46′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMats Deijl · Go Ahead Eagles · 32′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoel Ideho · FC Volendam · 57′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 82′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 78′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOscar Pettersson · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 23′ · 0.09 xG · on targetOzan Kökçü · FC Volendam · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobin van Cruijsen · FC Volendam · 81′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKey Shawn Wong A Soij · FC Volendam · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kramer · Go Ahead Eagles · 57′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 66′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 5′ · 0.20 xG · goalVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 10′ · 0.20 xG · goalMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′ · 0.20 xG · goalXavier Mbuyamba · FC Volendam · 20′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 35′ · 0.25 xG · on targetJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 56′ · 0.28 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Go Ahead Eagles: 19 shots, 13 on target, 2.23 xG. FC Volendam: 19 shots, 1 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 5′Victor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 10′Mathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Go Ahead Eagles 2.23 xG · FC Volendam 1.35 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Go Ahead Eagles's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: FC Volendam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Go Ahead Eagles have a visible home split

weak

Go Ahead Eagles's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Volendam show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Volendam's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/matchShotsGo Ahead Eagles · FC Volendam10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGo Ahead EaglesFC VolendamBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against22 shots/match17.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Go Ahead Eagles favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · FC Volendam in 2 · 5 too close

1.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/51.8 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/50.7 xG/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.41 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/510.8 shots/match
22 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/517.4 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/53.6 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/57 shots/match
48%Possessionseason · 5/542.4%
7.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54 corners/match
5.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/56.2 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Go Ahead Eagles47.2
FC Volendam30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Go Ahead Eagles51.9
FC Volendam28.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Go Ahead Eagles25
FC Volendam29.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Go Ahead Eagles30.6
FC Volendam25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Go Ahead Eagles19.4
FC Volendam25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Go Ahead Eagles91.7
FC Volendam36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Go Ahead Eagles53.5
FC Volendam26.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.7 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
48%Possession5/542.4%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.7 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
48%Possession5/542.4%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.7 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
48%Possession5/542.4%
7.4 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.72 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots3/311.3 shots/match
7.33 shots/matchShots on target3/33.33 shots/match
54.3%Possession3/349%
8.33 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 21:10 UTC · analysis-v4

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