PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Kras Stadion

FC Volendam 1–2 Excelsior · Eredivisie

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Excelsior won 1–2.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.681.84
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Excelsior beat FC Volendam 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Volendam – Excelsior): shots 14–15, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.68–1.84, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Excelsior's recent record differs from the season

weak

Excelsior's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsFC Volendam 14 shots, Excelsior 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsFC Volendam 7 shots, Excelsior 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG1.84 xGFC Volendam 1.68 xG, Excelsior 1.84 xG
  • Possession49%51%FC Volendam 49%, Excelsior 51%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersFC Volendam 5 corners, Excelsior 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls19 foulsFC Volendam 11 fouls, Excelsior 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Noah Naujoks · Excelsior · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNick Verschuren · FC Volendam · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetStefan Mitrović · Excelsior · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIlias Bronkhorst · Excelsior · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedXavier Mbuyamba · FC Volendam · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPrecious Ugwu · FC Volendam · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdam Carlén · Excelsior · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoah Naujoks · Excelsior · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimon Janssen · Excelsior · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNick Verschuren · FC Volendam · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJerolldino Bergraaf · Excelsior · 77′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRick Meissen · Excelsior · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRobin van Cruijsen · FC Volendam · 45′ · 0.08 xG · goalPrecious Ugwu · FC Volendam · 39′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAurelio Oehlers · FC Volendam · 73′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 77′ · 0.12 xG · on targetCasper Widell · Excelsior · 69′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 83′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRobin van Cruijsen · FC Volendam · 81′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 54′ · 0.19 xG · on targetLewis Schouten · Excelsior · 90′ · 0.25 xG · goalStefan Mitrović · Excelsior · 87′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedSzymon Włodarczyk · Excelsior · 10′ · 0.51 xG · goalHenk Veerman · FC Volendam · 54′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Volendam: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.46 xG. Excelsior: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Robin van Cruijsen · FC Volendam · 45′Szymon Włodarczyk · Excelsior · 10′Lewis Schouten · Excelsior · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Volendam 1.46 xG · Excelsior 1.81 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Volendam
0Draws
2Excelsior
Excelsior — FC Volendam · Eredivisie4–0
FC Volendam — Excelsior · Eredivisie3–1
FC Volendam — Excelsior · Eredivisie3–2
Excelsior — FC Volendam · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Volendam favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Excelsior in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Volendam6 matchesExcelsior6 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.17 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots6/611.8 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/64.33 shots/match
43.5%Possession6/6● 44.8%
4.17 corners/match ●Corners6/63.83 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/614.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC VolendamExcelsior
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Volendam — Excelsior
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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