PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard 1–0 FC Utrecht · Eredivisie

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard won 1–0.

Shots
714
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.160.83
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat FC Utrecht 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fortuna Sittard – FC Utrecht): shots 7–14, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.16–0.83, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible home split

weak

Fortuna Sittard's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortuna Sittard's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fortuna Sittard.

3 days ▲Rest daysFortuna Sittard · FC Utrecht6.23 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFortuna SittardFC UtrechtBaseline
Rest days3 days6.23 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsFortuna Sittard 7 shots, FC Utrecht 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsFortuna Sittard 3 shots, FC Utrecht 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG0.83 xGFortuna Sittard 1.16 xG, FC Utrecht 0.83 xG
  • Possession36%64%Fortuna Sittard 36%, FC Utrecht 64%
  • Corners1 corner11 cornersFortuna Sittard 1 corner, FC Utrecht 11 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsFortuna Sittard 12 fouls, FC Utrecht 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Souffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCan Bozdoğan · FC Utrecht · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMike Van der Hoorn · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSiebe Horemans · FC Utrecht · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Fosso · Fortuna Sittard · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMike Van der Hoorn · FC Utrecht · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJaygo van Ommeren · FC Utrecht · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Blake · FC Utrecht · 44′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuka Tunjić · Fortuna Sittard · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSébastien Haller · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 38′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSébastien Haller · FC Utrecht · 89′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCan Bozdoğan · FC Utrecht · 21′ · 0.40 xG · on targetMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 15′ · 0.59 xG · on targetMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 15′ · 0.81 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fortuna Sittard: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.69 xG. FC Utrecht: 14 shots, 5 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fortuna Sittard 1.69 xG · FC Utrecht 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fortuna Sittard
2Draws
1FC Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie0–0
FC Utrecht — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–5
FC Utrecht — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie4–0
Fortuna Sittard — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie0–0
FC Utrecht — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Utrecht in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard6 matchesFC Utrecht6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.36 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 16.2 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.17 shots/match
48.3%Possession6/6● 52.3%
3 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5.5 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/68.83 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardFC Utrecht
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — FC Utrecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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