Eredivisie · 2025Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 10:15 UTCFull timeMac3Park StadionFull-time recap

PEC Zwolle

WWLL

0–2Full-time recap

Go Ahead Eagles

DDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	PEC Zwolle	Go Ahead Eagles
Shots	8 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.43 xG/match	1.73 xG/match▲
Possession	28%	72%
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.49 xG. Go Ahead Eagles: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 0.49 xG · Go Ahead Eagles 2.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Go Ahead Eagles have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.6%▲PossessionPEC Zwolle · Go Ahead Eagles52%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	PEC Zwolle	Go Ahead Eagles	Baseline
Possession	41.6%	52%	50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

PEC Zwolle favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 6 · 4 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/6▲1.83 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/61.5 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/6▲1.43 xG/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/61.65 xG/match

8 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/6▲14 shots/match

14.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/619.7 shots/match

2.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/6▲6.5 shots/match

6.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/6▲5.17 shots/match

41.6%Possessionseason · 5/652%

1.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/67.33 corners/match

5.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/65.17 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/69.33 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

40%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/633%

60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/6▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

PEC Zwolle13.9

Go Ahead Eagles58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

PEC Zwolle4.6

Go Ahead Eagles63

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

PEC Zwolle43.5

Go Ahead Eagles43.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

PEC Zwolle2.8

Go Ahead Eagles30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

PEC Zwolle25

Go Ahead Eagles13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

PEC Zwolle2.8

Go Ahead Eagles86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

PEC Zwolle8.3

Go Ahead Eagles56.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.52 xG/match

8 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.4 shots/match

2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.2 shots/match

41.6%Possession5/555.8%

1.8 corners/matchCorners5/57.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 6 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲1.83 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/61.5 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲1.43 xG/match

8 shots/matchShots5/6▲14 shots/match

2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲6.5 shots/match

41.6%Possession5/652%

1.8 corners/matchCorners5/67.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/69.33 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 6 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲1.83 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/61.5 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲1.43 xG/match

8 shots/matchShots5/6▲14 shots/match

2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲6.5 shots/match

41.6%Possession5/652%

1.8 corners/matchCorners5/67.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/69.33 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.33 goals/match

0.74 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.23 xG/match

7.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲12.7 shots/match

1.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.67 shots/match

39.7%Possession3/349.7%

2.67 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/39.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.82 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.71 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 14:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

The teams have contrasting possession records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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