PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Mac3Park Stadion

PEC Zwolle 0–2 Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Go Ahead Eagles won 0–2.

Shots
820
Shots on target
19
Expected goals
0.431.73
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Go Ahead Eagles beat PEC Zwolle 2–0. Recorded in this match (PEC Zwolle – Go Ahead Eagles): shots 8–20, shots on target 1–9, expected goals 0.43–1.73, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Go Ahead Eagles have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.6%PossessionPEC Zwolle · Go Ahead Eagles● 52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Possession41.6%52%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots20 shotsPEC Zwolle 8 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 20 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot9 shotsPEC Zwolle 1 shot, Go Ahead Eagles 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.43 xG1.73 xGPEC Zwolle 0.43 xG, Go Ahead Eagles 1.73 xG
  • Possession28%72%PEC Zwolle 28%, Go Ahead Eagles 72%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersPEC Zwolle 3 corners, Go Ahead Eagles 7 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls8 foulsPEC Zwolle 5 fouls, Go Ahead Eagles 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Koen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRichonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRichonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJakob Breum · Go Ahead Eagles · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnselmo Garcia McNulty · PEC Zwolle · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSherel Constancio Floranus · PEC Zwolle · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJan Faberski · PEC Zwolle · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDean James · Go Ahead Eagles · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 80′ · 0.06 xG · goalMats Deijl · Go Ahead Eagles · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOscar Pettersson · Go Ahead Eagles · 87′ · 0.09 xG · on targetOlivier Aertssen · PEC Zwolle · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRichonell Margaret · Go Ahead Eagles · 67′ · 0.12 xG · on targetVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 62′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMats Deijl · Go Ahead Eagles · 59′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMathis Suray · Go Ahead Eagles · 35′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedKenzo Goudmijn · Go Ahead Eagles · 42′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.49 xG. Go Ahead Eagles: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Milan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 80′Milan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 0.49 xG · Go Ahead Eagles 2.07 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0PEC Zwolle
4Draws
1Go Ahead Eagles
PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1–1
Go Ahead Eagles — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–2
Go Ahead Eagles — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1
PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie1–1
PEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle5 matchesGo Ahead Eagles6 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/61.5 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲ 1.43 xG/match
8 shots/matchShots5/6▲ 14 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲ 6.5 shots/match
41.6%Possession5/6● 52%
1.8 corners/matchCorners5/6● 7.33 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/69.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Sept 2025, 14:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPEC ZwolleGo Ahead Eagles
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headPEC Zwolle — Go Ahead Eagles
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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