Eredivisie · 2025De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente 2–2 NAC Breda · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Twente and NAC Breda drew 2–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.120.74
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente and NAC Breda drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – NAC Breda): shots 15–11, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.12–0.74, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NAC Breda show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

NAC Breda's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Twente · NAC Breda10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteNAC BredaBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match10 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match17.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

NAC Breda have a visible away split

weak

NAC Breda's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match10 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.8% ●PossessionFC Twente · NAC Breda41%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteNAC BredaBaseline
Possession56.8%41%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsFC Twente 15 shots, NAC Breda 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsFC Twente 6 shots, NAC Breda 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.12 xG0.74 xGFC Twente 2.12 xG, NAC Breda 0.74 xG
  • Possession61%39%FC Twente 61%, NAC Breda 39%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersFC Twente 4 corners, NAC Breda 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsFC Twente 15 fouls, NAC Breda 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLewis Holtby · NAC Breda · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Nassoh · NAC Breda · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRamiz Zerrouki · FC Twente · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuho Talvitie · NAC Breda · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 40′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMats Rots · FC Twente · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Nassoh · NAC Breda · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRaul Paula · NAC Breda · 90′ · 0.07 xG · goalCharles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 19′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Nassoh · NAC Breda · 21′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 2′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 28′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 39′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedArno Verschueren · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMohamed Nassoh · NAC Breda · 3′ · 0.17 xG · goalMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 64′ · 0.20 xG · goalMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 82′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 87′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.25 xG. NAC Breda: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.63 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marko Pjaca · FC Twente · 64′Ricky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 87′Mohamed Nassoh · NAC Breda · 3′Raul Paula · NAC Breda · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 2.25 xG · NAC Breda 0.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Twente
0Draws
1NAC Breda
NAC Breda — FC Twente · Eredivisie2–1
FC Twente — NAC Breda · Eredivisie1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · NAC Breda in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente5 matchesNAC Breda5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
1.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.12 xG/match
17.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/510 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession5/541%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners5/52.6 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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