PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente 3–2 Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 3–2.

Shots
188
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
2.690.49
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat Fortuna Sittard 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – Fortuna Sittard): shots 18–8, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 2.69–0.49, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Twente's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.71 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible away split

weak

Fortuna Sittard's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Twente · Fortuna Sittard12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteFortuna SittardBaseline
Shots18.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match14.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsFC Twente 18 shots, Fortuna Sittard 8 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsFC Twente 10 shots, Fortuna Sittard 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.69 xG0.49 xGFC Twente 2.69 xG, Fortuna Sittard 0.49 xG
  • Possession55%45%FC Twente 55%, Fortuna Sittard 45%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersFC Twente 4 corners, Fortuna Sittard 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsFC Twente 14 fouls, Fortuna Sittard 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 34′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Pröpper · FC Twente · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMakan Aïko · Fortuna Sittard · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuka Tunjić · Fortuna Sittard · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIván Márquez · Fortuna Sittard · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 78′ · 0.07 xG · goalNaci Ünüvar · FC Twente · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 15′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 71′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 69′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 13′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedArno Verschueren · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 30′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 57′ · 0.19 xG · goalJustin Lonwijk · Fortuna Sittard · 72′ · 0.33 xG · goalKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 19′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedNaci Ünüvar · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.47 xG · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 38′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 18 shots, 10 on target, 2.90 xG. Fortuna Sittard: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ricky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 38′Bart van Rooij · FC Twente · 57′Thomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 78′Justin Lonwijk · Fortuna Sittard · 72′Luka Tunjić · Fortuna Sittard · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 2.90 xG · Fortuna Sittard 0.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4FC Twente
1Draws
0Fortuna Sittard
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–1
Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2
FC Twente — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie2–0
Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente · Eredivisie0–3
Fortuna Sittard — FC Twente · Eredivisie0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Fortuna Sittard in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente7 matchesFortuna Sittard7 matches
1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.71 goals/match
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.05 xG/match
18.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.1 shots/match
6.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/74.29 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession7/747.9%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners7/73.29 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls6/713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Sept 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC TwenteFortuna Sittard
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Twente — Fortuna Sittard
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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