Eredivisie · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeJohan Cruijff ArenAFull-time recap

AFC Ajax

DWDWD

0–2Full-time recap

AZ Alkmaar

WDDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	AFC Ajax	AZ Alkmaar
Shots	17 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.26 xG/match	2.23 xG/match▲
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	5 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

AFC Ajax: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.22 xG. AZ Alkmaar: 13 shots, 3 on target, 2.26 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AFC Ajax 1.22 xG · AZ Alkmaar 2.26 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.33 corners/match▲CornersAFC Ajax · AZ Alkmaar5.89 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	AFC Ajax	AZ Alkmaar	Baseline
Corners	6.33 corners/match	5.89 corners/match	4.89 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

AFC Ajax favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · AZ Alkmaar in 6 · 5 too close

1.89 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲2.11 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91.33 goals/match

1.84 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲2.02 xG/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲1.2 xG/match

16.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲18.1 shots/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 9/913.3 shots/match

6.89 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 9/95.89 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 9/95 shots/match

58.3%Possessionseason · 9/955.4%

6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/95.89 corners/match

5.11 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲4.11 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/912 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/922%

89%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

AFC Ajax91.7

AZ Alkmaar80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

AFC Ajax75.9

AZ Alkmaar78.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

AFC Ajax75

AZ Alkmaar63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

AFC Ajax47.2

AZ Alkmaar91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

AFC Ajax58.3

AZ Alkmaar50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

AFC Ajax80.6

AZ Alkmaar69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

AFC Ajax75

AZ Alkmaar68.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.87 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.97 xG/match

14.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.8 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.8 shots/match

55.4%Possession5/554.4%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

9 / 9 matches

1.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2.11 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.33 goals/match

1.84 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲2.02 xG/match

16.7 shots/matchShots9/9▲18.1 shots/match

6.89 shots/match▲Shots on target9/95.89 shots/match

58.3%Possession9/955.4%

6.33 corners/matchCorners9/95.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/912 fouls/match

Window

Season

9 / 9 matches

1.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲2.11 goals/match

1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.33 goals/match

1.84 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲2.02 xG/match

16.7 shots/matchShots9/9▲18.1 shots/match

6.89 shots/match▲Shots on target9/95.89 shots/match

58.3%Possession9/955.4%

6.33 corners/matchCorners9/95.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/912 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match

1.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.89 xG/match

16.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.8 shots/match

7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match

59.8%Possession5/554.2%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.2 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Both teams have elevated corners records

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match