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Eredivisie · 2025Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna Sittard 4–3 AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie

4–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard won 4–3.

Shots
1521
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
1.383.79
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat AZ Alkmaar 4–3. Recorded in this match (Fortuna Sittard – AZ Alkmaar): shots 15–21, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 1.38–3.79, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AZ Alkmaar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AZ Alkmaar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.94 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortuna Sittard have a visible home split

moderate

Fortuna Sittard's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots21 shotsFortuna Sittard 15 shots, AZ Alkmaar 21 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsFortuna Sittard 6 shots, AZ Alkmaar 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG3.79 xGFortuna Sittard 1.38 xG, AZ Alkmaar 3.79 xG
  • Possession34%66%Fortuna Sittard 34%, AZ Alkmaar 66%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersFortuna Sittard 5 corners, AZ Alkmaar 8 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsFortuna Sittard 18 fouls, AZ Alkmaar 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ivo Pinto · Fortuna Sittard · 59′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSyb Van Ottele · Fortuna Sittard · 86′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPeer Koopmeiners · AZ Alkmaar · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristoffer Peterson · Fortuna Sittard · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedShawn Adewoye · Fortuna Sittard · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMohamed Ihattaren · Fortuna Sittard · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMees De Wit · AZ Alkmaar · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMateo Chávez · AZ Alkmaar · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Penetra · AZ Alkmaar · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Penetra · AZ Alkmaar · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 19′ · 0.09 xG · goalJustin Lonwijk · Fortuna Sittard · 9′ · 0.10 xG · goalTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 54′ · 0.13 xG · goalTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 21′ · 0.19 xG · goalKaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 42′ · 0.25 xG · goalTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 71′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 32′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Sadiq · AZ Alkmaar · 90′ · 0.51 xG · on targetPhilip Brittijn · Fortuna Sittard · 86′ · 0.61 xG · goalSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 51′ · 0.82 xG · on targetMees De Wit · AZ Alkmaar · 71′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fortuna Sittard: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.36 xG. AZ Alkmaar: 21 shots, 9 on target, 4.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.254.50′HT90′Justin Lonwijk · Fortuna Sittard · 9′Kaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 42′Kaj Sierhuis · Fortuna Sittard · 54′Philip Brittijn · Fortuna Sittard · 86′Troy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 19′Sven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 21′Mees De Wit · AZ Alkmaar · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fortuna Sittard 1.36 xG · AZ Alkmaar 4.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fortuna Sittard
0Draws
4AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–2
AZ Alkmaar — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie4–0
Fortuna Sittard — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortuna Sittard favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · AZ Alkmaar in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortuna Sittard17 matchesAZ Alkmaar16 matches
1.47 goals/matchGoals scored17/16▲ 1.94 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed17/161.75 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals17/16▲ 2.04 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots17/16▲ 16.8 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲ 6.19 shots/match
47.1%Possession17/16● 54.4%
4.94 corners/matchCorners17/16● 6.31 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls17/1610.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFortuna Sittard — AZ Alkmaar
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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