PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente 1–1 PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Twente and PEC Zwolle drew 1–1.

Shots
263
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.070.4
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente and PEC Zwolle drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – PEC Zwolle): shots 26–3, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.07–0.4, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Twente show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Twente's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Twente · PEC Zwolle8.22 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC TwentePEC ZwolleBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match8.22 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match18.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Twente's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Twente's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.6% ●PossessionFC Twente · PEC Zwolle41.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC TwentePEC ZwolleBaseline
Possession55.6%41.4%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots3 shotsFC Twente 26 shots, PEC Zwolle 3 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotFC Twente 7 shots, PEC Zwolle 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.07 xG0.4 xGFC Twente 2.07 xG, PEC Zwolle 0.4 xG
  • Possession64%36%FC Twente 64%, PEC Zwolle 36%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersFC Twente 7 corners, PEC Zwolle 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsFC Twente 6 fouls, PEC Zwolle 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Robin Pröpper · FC Twente · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStav Lemkin · FC Twente · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMats Rots · FC Twente · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMats Rots · FC Twente · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMats Rots · FC Twente · 5′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDaouda Weidmann · FC Twente · 5′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMats Rots · FC Twente · 79′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 43′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRyan Thomas · PEC Zwolle · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Vennegoor of Hesselink · FC Twente · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 11′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSam Lammers · FC Twente · 44′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 38′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDaan Rots · FC Twente · 86′ · 0.20 xG · goalKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 23′ · 0.21 xG · on targetShola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 66′ · 0.30 xG · goalKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 47′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 26 shots, 7 on target, 2.05 xG. PEC Zwolle: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Daan Rots · FC Twente · 86′Shola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 2.05 xG · PEC Zwolle 0.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Twente
2Draws
1PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–0
PEC Zwolle — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–1
FC Twente — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1
PEC Zwolle — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–2
FC Twente — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · PEC Zwolle in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente18 matchesPEC Zwolle18 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.22 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/182.17 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.06 xG/match
18.8 shots/match ▲Shots18/188.22 shots/match
6.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/182.83 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession18/1841.4%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners18/182.28 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1810.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Jan 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC TwentePEC Zwolle
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Twente — PEC Zwolle
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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