PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Stadion de Goffert

NEC Nijmegen 2–2 SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

NEC Nijmegen and SC Heerenveen drew 2–2.

Shots
2211
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
2.221.38
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

NEC Nijmegen and SC Heerenveen drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (NEC Nijmegen – SC Heerenveen): shots 22–11, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 2.22–1.38, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NEC Nijmegen's recent record differs from the season

weak

NEC Nijmegen's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match16.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots11 shotsNEC Nijmegen 22 shots, SC Heerenveen 11 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsNEC Nijmegen 10 shots, SC Heerenveen 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.22 xG1.38 xGNEC Nijmegen 2.22 xG, SC Heerenveen 1.38 xG
  • Possession54%46%NEC Nijmegen 54%, SC Heerenveen 46%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersNEC Nijmegen 6 corners, SC Heerenveen 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsNEC Nijmegen 6 fouls, SC Heerenveen 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vasilios Zagaritis · SC Heerenveen · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSam Kersten · SC Heerenveen · 25′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBaşar Önal · NEC Nijmegen · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarko Nejašmić · NEC Nijmegen · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 57′ · 0.04 xG · goalSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYoussef el Kachati · NEC Nijmegen · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKodai Sano · NEC Nijmegen · 72′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYoussef el Kachati · NEC Nijmegen · 72′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYoussef el Kachati · NEC Nijmegen · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNoe Lebreton · NEC Nijmegen · 19′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 45′ · 0.09 xG · goalRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSami Ouaissa · NEC Nijmegen · 62′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 52′ · 0.14 xG · on targetLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 28′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLasse Selvåg Nordås · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.15 xG · on targetTjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 19′ · 0.16 xG · goalDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 50′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 21′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedYoussef el Kachati · NEC Nijmegen · 79′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 37′ · 0.42 xG · goalBryan Linssen · NEC Nijmegen · 30′ · 0.55 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

NEC Nijmegen: 22 shots, 10 on target, 2.21 xG. SC Heerenveen: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 19′Tjaronn Chery · NEC Nijmegen · 57′Jacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 37′Ringo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NEC Nijmegen 2.21 xG · SC Heerenveen 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2NEC Nijmegen
1Draws
2SC Heerenveen
SC Heerenveen — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie3–2
SC Heerenveen — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–0
NEC Nijmegen — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie3–0
NEC Nijmegen — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–0
SC Heerenveen — NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: NEC Nijmegen favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · SC Heerenveen in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

NEC Nijmegen28 matchesSC Heerenveen28 matches
2.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.75 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.64 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.66 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/2815.1 shots/match
6.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/285.36 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession28/2850.4%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners28/285.36 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNEC NijmegenSC Heerenveen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headNEC Nijmegen — SC Heerenveen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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