Eredivisie · 2025Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven 4–3 FC Utrecht · Eredivisie

4–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 4–3.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
87
Expected goals
2.941.4
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat FC Utrecht 4–3. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – FC Utrecht): shots 18–12, shots on target 8–7, expected goals 2.94–1.4, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Utrecht's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Utrecht's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3% ●PossessionPSV Eindhoven · FC Utrecht46.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenFC UtrechtBaseline
Possession61.3%46.7%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsPSV Eindhoven 18 shots, FC Utrecht 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots7 shotsPSV Eindhoven 8 shots, FC Utrecht 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.94 xG1.4 xGPSV Eindhoven 2.94 xG, FC Utrecht 1.4 xG
  • Possession63%37%PSV Eindhoven 63%, FC Utrecht 37%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersPSV Eindhoven 8 corners, FC Utrecht 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls10 foulsPSV Eindhoven 6 fouls, FC Utrecht 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJerdy Schouten · PSV Eindhoven · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 56′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 75′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalJesper Karlsson · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJesper Karlsson · FC Utrecht · 82′ · 0.05 xG · goalNiklas Vesterlund · FC Utrecht · 25′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 31′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 76′ · 0.08 xG · on targetYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 70′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedArtem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 3′ · 0.15 xG · goalArtem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 18′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKiliann Sildillia · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 21′ · 0.26 xG · goalKiliann Sildillia · PSV Eindhoven · 44′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 48′ · 0.35 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 40′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 13′ · 0.58 xG · goalGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 52′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PSV Eindhoven: 18 shots, 8 on target, 2.93 xG. FC Utrecht: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 21′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 48′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 52′Couhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 90′Artem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 3′Gjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 13′Jesper Karlsson · FC Utrecht · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PSV Eindhoven 2.93 xG · FC Utrecht 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3PSV Eindhoven
2Draws
0FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–2
PSV Eindhoven — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie2–2
FC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie2–5
FC Utrecht — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–1
PSV Eindhoven — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · FC Utrecht in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven29 matchesFC Utrecht29 matches
2.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.55 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.21 goals/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.42 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots29/2914.8 shots/match
7.34 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/295.28 shots/match
61.3% ●Possession29/2946.7%
7.41 corners/match ●Corners29/295.17 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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