PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Het Kasteel

Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 0–2.

Shots
918
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.22.05
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat Sparta Rotterdam 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sparta Rotterdam – PSV Eindhoven): shots 9–18, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.2–2.05, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sparta Rotterdam's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sparta Rotterdam's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSparta Rotterdam · PSV Eindhoven17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSparta RotterdamPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match17.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.7%PossessionSparta Rotterdam · PSV Eindhoven● 61.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSparta RotterdamPSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession46.7%61.3%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsSparta Rotterdam 9 shots, PSV Eindhoven 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsSparta Rotterdam 4 shots, PSV Eindhoven 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG2.05 xGSparta Rotterdam 1.2 xG, PSV Eindhoven 2.05 xG
  • Possession38%62%Sparta Rotterdam 38%, PSV Eindhoven 62%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersSparta Rotterdam 2 corners, PSV Eindhoven 5 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsSparta Rotterdam 6 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julian Baas · Sparta Rotterdam · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedShunsuke Mito · Sparta Rotterdam · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKiliann Sildillia · PSV Eindhoven · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPaul Wanner · PSV Eindhoven · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 56′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCasper Terho · Sparta Rotterdam · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiannino Vianello · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMike Kleijn · Sparta Rotterdam · 13′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVito van Crooij · Sparta Rotterdam · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEsmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCasper Terho · Sparta Rotterdam · 79′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 45′ · 0.10 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · Sparta Rotterdam · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetIvan Perišić · PSV Eindhoven · 43′ · 0.17 xG · on targetMyron Boadu · PSV Eindhoven · 89′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 80′ · 0.32 xG · goalRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 31′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kitolano · Sparta Rotterdam · 66′ · 0.74 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sparta Rotterdam: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.22 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ricardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 45′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sparta Rotterdam 1.22 xG · PSV Eindhoven 1.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sparta Rotterdam
0Draws
5PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie6–1
Sparta Rotterdam — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–3
PSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie2–1
PSV Eindhoven — Sparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie4–2
Sparta Rotterdam — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sparta Rotterdam favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sparta Rotterdam30 matchesPSV Eindhoven30 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2.8 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 2.09 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 17.8 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target29/30▲ 7.27 shots/match
46.7%Possession30/30● 61.3%
4.57 corners/matchCorners30/30● 7.33 corners/match
9.97 fouls/matchFouls29/3010.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSparta RotterdamPSV Eindhoven
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headSparta Rotterdam — PSV Eindhoven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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