Eredivisie · 2025Stadion Galgenwaard

FC Utrecht 4–1 SC Telstar · Eredivisie

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Utrecht won 4–1.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
97
Expected goals
1.571.32
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Utrecht beat SC Telstar 4–1. Recorded in this match (FC Utrecht – SC Telstar): shots 18–13, shots on target 9–7, expected goals 1.57–1.32, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Utrecht's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Utrecht's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Utrecht show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Utrecht's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Utrecht · SC Telstar13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC UtrechtSC TelstarBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsFC Utrecht 18 shots, SC Telstar 13 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots7 shotsFC Utrecht 9 shots, SC Telstar 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG1.32 xGFC Utrecht 1.57 xG, SC Telstar 1.32 xG
  • Possession41%59%FC Utrecht 41%, SC Telstar 59%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersFC Utrecht 7 corners, SC Telstar 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls5 foulsFC Utrecht 9 fouls, SC Telstar 5 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 69′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 58′ · 0.03 xG · goalGjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 61′ · 0.03 xG · goalTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJesper Karlsson · FC Utrecht · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalNeville Nwankwo · SC Telstar · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 74′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJelani Seedorf · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSem van Duijn · SC Telstar · 12′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 8′ · 0.07 xG · on targetArtem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatisse Didden · FC Utrecht · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 75′ · 0.08 xG · on targetYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 57′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGuus Offerhaus · SC Telstar · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMatisse Didden · FC Utrecht · 10′ · 0.10 xG · goalTyrone Owusu · SC Telstar · 46′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSouffian El Karouani · FC Utrecht · 39′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedÁngel Alarcón · FC Utrecht · 57′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedYoann Cathline · FC Utrecht · 69′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedArtem Stepanov · FC Utrecht · 72′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 72′ · 0.25 xG · goalSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Brouwer · SC Telstar · 5′ · 0.34 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Utrecht: 18 shots, 9 on target, 1.59 xG. SC Telstar: 13 shots, 7 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Matisse Didden · FC Utrecht · 10′Gjivai Zechiël · FC Utrecht · 61′Dani De Wit · FC Utrecht · 72′Jesper Karlsson · FC Utrecht · 90′Danny Bakker · SC Telstar · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Utrecht 1.59 xG · SC Telstar 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Utrecht
1Draws
0SC Telstar
SC Telstar — FC Utrecht · Eredivisie1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Utrecht favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · SC Telstar in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Utrecht30 matchesSC Telstar30 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.3 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.73 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.47 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots30/3013.1 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/304.97 shots/match
46.5% ●Possession30/3045.4%
5.23 corners/match ●Corners30/304.97 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls30/3011 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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