Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 16:00 UTCFull timeEryaman StadyumuFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGençlerbirliğiFenerbahçe
Shots9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.2 xG/match1.65 xG/match
Possession38%62%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match15 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Fenerbahçe have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Gençlerbirliği show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/matchShotsGençlerbirliği · Fenerbahçe15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGençlerbirliğiFenerbahçeBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match15.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match9.33 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Fenerbahçe have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.8%PossessionGençlerbirliği · Fenerbahçe59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGençlerbirliğiFenerbahçeBaseline
Possession37.8%59.7%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gençlerbirliği favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Fenerbahçe in 0 · 14 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/32 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/30.67 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/31.75 xG/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/30.69 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/315.3 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/39.33 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/33.67 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/32 shots/match
37.8%Possessionseason · 4/359.7%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/35 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/32 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/313.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/333%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gençlerbirliği3.1
Fenerbahçe90.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gençlerbirliği13.5
Fenerbahçe78.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gençlerbirliği44.8
Fenerbahçe81.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gençlerbirliği65.6
Fenerbahçe71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gençlerbirliği15.6
Fenerbahçe65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gençlerbirliği50
Fenerbahçe68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gençlerbirliği19.5
Fenerbahçe71.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 3 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/32 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/30.67 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.75 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots4/315.3 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target4/33.67 shots/match
37.8%Possession4/359.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/35 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/313.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 3 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/32 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/30.67 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.75 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots4/315.3 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target4/33.67 shots/match
37.8%Possession4/359.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/35 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/313.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 3 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/32 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/30.67 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.75 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots4/315.3 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target4/33.67 shots/match
37.8%Possession4/359.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners4/35 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/313.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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