Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeBahcesehir Okullari StadiumFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAlanyasporBeşiktaş
Shots9 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.49 xG/match2.31 xG/match
Possession37%63%
Corners2 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Uchenna Ogundu · Alanyaspor · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKartal Kayra Yılmaz · Beşiktaş · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKartal Kayra Yılmaz · Beşiktaş · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaestro · Alanyaspor · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDemir Ege Tıknaz · Beşiktaş · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Djaló · Beşiktaş · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedUchenna Ogundu · Alanyaspor · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKartal Kayra Yılmaz · Beşiktaş · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 60′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetWilfred Ndidi · Beşiktaş · 58′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 80′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedGüven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 76′ · 0.38 xG · goalRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 82′ · 0.52 xG · on targetEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 67′ · 0.77 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Alanyaspor: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.44 xG. Beşiktaş: 15 shots, 4 on target, 2.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ibrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 45′Güven Yalçın · Alanyaspor · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Alanyaspor 1.44 xG · Beşiktaş 2.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Beşiktaş show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlanyasporBeşiktaşBaseline
Shots10 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alanyaspor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Beşiktaş in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/2
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/2
1.13 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/2
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/2
10 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/2
9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/2
2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/2
3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/2
45.3%Possessionseason · 3/2
3.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/2
2.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
15.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/2
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alanyaspor28.1
Beşiktaş
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alanyaspor25
Beşiktaş
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alanyaspor75
Beşiktaş
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alanyaspor34.4
Beşiktaş
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alanyaspor84.4
Beşiktaş
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alanyaspor15.6
Beşiktaş
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alanyaspor32
Beşiktaş
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 2 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
10 shots/matchShots3/2
2 shots/matchShots on target3/2
45.3%Possession3/2
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Window

Last 10

3 / 2 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
10 shots/matchShots3/2
2 shots/matchShots on target3/2
45.3%Possession3/2
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Window

Season

3 / 2 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
10 shots/matchShots3/2
2 shots/matchShots on target3/2
45.3%Possession3/2
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 1 matches
Goals scored2/1
Goals allowed2/1
Expected goals2/1
Shots2/1
Shots on target2/1
Possession2/1
Corners2/1
Cards0/0
Fouls2/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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