Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 18:30 UTCFull timeAkyazı StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTrabzonsporSamsunspor
Shots9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.56 xG/match0.98 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners2 corners/match10 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Kazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 8′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYunus Emre Çift · Samsunspor · 20′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSoner Gönül · Samsunspor · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Ntcham · Samsunspor · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Ntcham · Samsunspor · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Musaba · Samsunspor · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Ntcham · Samsunspor · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Jabol-Folcarelli · Trabzonspor · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAfonso Sousa · Samsunspor · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOkay Yokuşlu · Trabzonspor · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Makoumbou · Samsunspor · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Makoumbou · Samsunspor · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 53′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 48′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 16′ · 0.26 xG · goalMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 53′ · 0.40 xG · on targetMarius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 88′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Trabzonspor: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.62 xG. Samsunspor: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 16′Marius Mouandilmadji · Samsunspor · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Trabzonspor 0.62 xG · Samsunspor 1.44 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Samsunspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Samsunspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Samsunspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/matchShotsTrabzonspor · Samsunspor11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTrabzonsporSamsunsporBaseline
Shots12 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match10 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Trabzonspor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Samsunspor in 0 · 14 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/31.33 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/30.67 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/31 xG/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/30.65 xG/match
12 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/311.7 shots/match
10 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/310 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/34 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/33 shots/match
54.3%Possessionseason · 4/355.7%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/36.33 corners/match
6.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/33 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/313.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
75%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/333%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Trabzonspor71.9
Samsunspor78.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Trabzonspor47.9
Samsunspor65.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Trabzonspor82.3
Samsunspor71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Trabzonspor40.6
Samsunspor9.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Trabzonspor3.1
Samsunspor71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Trabzonspor21.9
Samsunspor90.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Trabzonspor30.5
Samsunspor71.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/31.33 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/30.67 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals4/31 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots4/311.7 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/34 shots/match
54.3%Possession4/355.7%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/36.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/313.7 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/31.33 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/30.67 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals4/31 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots4/311.7 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/34 shots/match
54.3%Possession4/355.7%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/36.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/313.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/31.33 goals/match
0.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/30.67 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals4/31 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots4/311.7 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target4/34 shots/match
54.3%Possession4/355.7%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/36.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/313.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
12.3 shots/matchShots3/2
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2
53.7%Possession3/2
3.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Aug 2025, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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