UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 27 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstádio da LuzFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBenficaFenerbahçe
Shots15 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match0 shots/match
Possession53%47%
Corners4 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match20 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Fenerbahçe show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/matchShotsBenfica · Fenerbahçe10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBenficaFenerbahçeBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match10.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Benfica
1Draws
0Fenerbahçe
FenerbahçeBenfica · UEFA Champions League00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Benfica favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Fenerbahçe in 0 · 14 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.5 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
14.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/410.3 shots/match
10 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.25 shots/match
52.5%Possessionseason · 4/450.8%
4.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/43.75 corners/match
3.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.5 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/417.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
100%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Benfica65
Fenerbahçe55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Benfica41.9
Fenerbahçe29
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Benfica92.7
Fenerbahçe32.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Benfica35
Fenerbahçe15
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Benfica55
Fenerbahçe95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Benfica65
Fenerbahçe5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Benfica52.5
Fenerbahçe32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.8 shots/matchShots4/410.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/44 shots/match
52.5%Possession4/450.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls4/417.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.8 shots/matchShots4/410.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/44 shots/match
52.5%Possession4/450.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls4/417.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.5 goals/match
0 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14.8 shots/matchShots4/410.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/44 shots/match
52.5%Possession4/450.8%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls4/417.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match