Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeTüpraş StadyumFull-time recap
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBeşiktaşBaşakşehir FK
Shots21 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.87 xG/match0.71 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners10 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Deniz Türüç · Başakşehir FK · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelix Uduokhai · Beşiktaş · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Crespo · Başakşehir FK · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusseynou Ba · Başakşehir FK · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Kemen · Başakşehir FK · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDemir Ege Tıknaz · Beşiktaş · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 49′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMilot Rashica · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 71′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 16′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Sarı · Başakşehir FK · 24′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 70′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 71′ · 0.12 xG · goalTiago Djaló · Beşiktaş · 8′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 21′ · 0.16 xG · on targetEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 74′ · 0.17 xG · goalJerome Opoku · Başakşehir FK · 56′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 87′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedCengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.32 xG · goalTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 21′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Beşiktaş: 21 shots, 6 on target, 2.01 xG. Başakşehir FK: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′El Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 74′Cengiz Ünder · Beşiktaş · 90′Eldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Beşiktaş 2.01 xG · Başakşehir FK 0.68 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Beşiktaş show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18 shots/matchShotsBeşiktaş · Başakşehir FK11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBeşiktaşBaşakşehir FKBaseline
Shots18 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match14 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Beşiktaş favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Başakşehir FK in 0 · 14 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31 goals/match
2.33 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.77 xG/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.97 xG/match
18 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/311.3 shots/match
10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/314 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/33.33 shots/match
56.7%Possessionseason · 3/351.7%
8.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/35 corners/match
3.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/37 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/313.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Beşiktaş80.6
Başakşehir FK58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Beşiktaş86.1
Başakşehir FK44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Beşiktaş58.3
Başakşehir FK57.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Beşiktaş91.7
Başakşehir FK25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Beşiktaş86.1
Başakşehir FK61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Beşiktaş97.2
Başakşehir FK61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Beşiktaş91.7
Başakşehir FK58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
2.33 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.77 xG/match
18 shots/matchShots3/311.3 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots on target3/34 shots/match
56.7%Possession3/351.7%
8.67 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
2.33 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.77 xG/match
18 shots/matchShots3/311.3 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots on target3/34 shots/match
56.7%Possession3/351.7%
8.67 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
2.33 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.77 xG/match
18 shots/matchShots3/311.3 shots/match
6.33 shots/matchShots on target3/34 shots/match
56.7%Possession3/351.7%
8.67 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 1 matches
Goals scored2/1
Goals allowed2/1
Expected goals2/1
Shots2/1
Shots on target2/1
Possession2/1
Corners2/1
Cards0/0
Fouls2/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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