Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeVefa StadiumFull-time recap

Fatih Karagümrük

LLW

0–1Full-time recap

Kasımpaşa

LLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fatih Karagümrük	Kasımpaşa
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.83 xG/match▲	0.62 xG/match
Possession	72%	28%
Corners	6 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	17 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fatih Karagümrük favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Kasımpaşa in 0 · 14 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.5 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41 xG/match

1.64 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.21 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.5 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/412.5 shots/match

3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/42.25 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.25 shots/match

54.3%Possessionseason · 4/449%

4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/44 corners/match

6.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/419.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

25%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fatih Karagümrük66.7

Kasımpaşa41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fatih Karagümrük38

Kasımpaşa32.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fatih Karagümrük17.6

Kasımpaşa40.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fatih Karagümrük33.3

Kasımpaşa52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fatih Karagümrük36.1

Kasımpaşa97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fatih Karagümrük41.7

Kasımpaşa27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fatih Karagümrük45.2

Kasımpaşa44.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.5 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots4/411.5 shots/match

3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.25 shots/match

54.3%Possession4/449%

4.25 corners/matchCorners4/44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/419.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.5 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots4/411.5 shots/match

3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.25 shots/match

54.3%Possession4/449%

4.25 corners/matchCorners4/44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/419.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.5 goals/match

0.86 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots4/411.5 shots/match

3.25 shots/match▲Shots on target4/42.25 shots/match

54.3%Possession4/449%

4.25 corners/matchCorners4/44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/419.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match