Süper Lig · 2025Wed, 17 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeVefa StadiumFull-time recap
02Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFatih KaragümrükBaşakşehir FK
Shots6 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.39 xG/match0.11 xG/match
Possession48%52%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match16 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Başakşehir FK. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Başakşehir FK.

4.12 daysRest daysFatih Karagümrük · Başakşehir FK4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFatih KaragümrükBaşakşehir FKBaseline
Rest days4.12 days4 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fatih Karagümrük favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Başakşehir FK in 0 · 14 too close

0.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/41 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/40.75 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/40.61 xG/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/40.83 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/49.5 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/412 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/43.25 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/43 shots/match
53%Possessionseason · 5/451.8%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/44.75 corners/match
6.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/46 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/414 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/450%
20%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fatih Karagümrük69.4
Başakşehir FK63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fatih Karagümrük29.6
Başakşehir FK40.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fatih Karagümrük25
Başakşehir FK73.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fatih Karagümrük36.1
Başakşehir FK2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fatih Karagümrük36.1
Başakşehir FK69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fatih Karagümrük30.6
Başakşehir FK47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fatih Karagümrük37.5
Başakşehir FK47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 4 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/41 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/40.75 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals5/40.61 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots5/49.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/43.25 shots/match
53%Possession5/451.8%
4 corners/matchCorners5/44.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/414 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 4 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/41 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/40.75 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals5/40.61 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots5/49.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/43.25 shots/match
53%Possession5/451.8%
4 corners/matchCorners5/44.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/414 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 4 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/41 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/40.75 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals5/40.61 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots5/49.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/43.25 shots/match
53%Possession5/451.8%
4 corners/matchCorners5/44.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/414 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
0 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
0.51 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
10.3 shots/matchShots3/2
2.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2
61.7%Possession3/2
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 17 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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