Süper Lig · 2025Fri, 19 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeGursel Aksel StadiumFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGöztepeBeşiktaş
Shots13 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.23 xG/match0.67 xG/match
Possession30%70%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Václav Černý · Beşiktaş · 45′ · 0.00 xG · on targetHéliton · Göztepe · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGökhan Sazdağı · Beşiktaş · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGökhan Sazdağı · Beşiktaş · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmine Cherni · Göztepe · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · Beşiktaş · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRıdvan Yılmaz · Beşiktaş · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGabriel Paulista · Beşiktaş · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Ildız · Göztepe · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Sabra · Göztepe · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNovatus Miroshi · Göztepe · 82′ · 0.12 xG · on targetIbrahim Sabra · Göztepe · 84′ · 0.20 xG · goalJanderson · Göztepe · 22′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 42′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedRhaldney · Göztepe · 19′ · 0.55 xG · goalJuan · Göztepe · 4′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Göztepe: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.81 xG. Beşiktaş: 13 shots, 2 on target, 0.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Juan · Göztepe · 4′Rhaldney · Göztepe · 19′Ibrahim Sabra · Göztepe · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Göztepe 2.81 xG · Beşiktaş 0.64 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Beşiktaş have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Beşiktaş have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.3%PossessionGöztepe · Beşiktaş60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGöztepeBeşiktaşBaseline
Possession38.3%60%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Beşiktaş show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/matchShotsGöztepe · Beşiktaş16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGöztepeBeşiktaşBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match11 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Göztepe's recent record differs from the season

weak

Göztepe's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.67 goals/match1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Göztepe favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Beşiktaş in 0 · 14 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/41 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/41.75 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/41.91 xG/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/41.41 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/416.8 shots/match
11.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/411 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/45.25 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/44 shots/match
38.3%Possessionseason · 6/460%
5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/47.75 corners/match
4.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/44 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
17.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/414 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/40%
83%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Göztepe2.8
Beşiktaş86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Göztepe84.3
Beşiktaş73.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Göztepe86.1
Beşiktaş50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Göztepe97.2
Beşiktaş75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Göztepe91.7
Beşiktaş72.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Göztepe69.4
Beşiktaş97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Göztepe83.3
Beşiktaş84
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 4 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/41 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/41.75 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals5/41.91 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/416.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/45.25 shots/match
37.2%Possession5/460%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/47.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
18.6 fouls/matchFouls5/414 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 4 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/41 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/41.75 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals6/41.91 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots6/416.8 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target6/45.25 shots/match
38.3%Possession6/460%
5.33 corners/matchCorners6/47.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
17.8 fouls/matchFouls6/414 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 4 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/41 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/41.75 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals6/41.91 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots6/416.8 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target6/45.25 shots/match
38.3%Possession6/460%
5.33 corners/matchCorners6/47.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
17.8 fouls/matchFouls6/414 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
14.3 shots/matchShots3/2
5 shots/matchShots on target3/2
34.7%Possession3/2
4.67 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
19 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 19 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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