Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeEryaman StadyumuFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGençlerbirliğiEyüpspor
Shots11 shots/match20 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.15 xG/match1.29 xG/match
Possession34%66%
Corners2 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Serdar Gürler · Eyüpspor · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEmre Akbaba · Eyüpspor · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCalegari · Eyüpspor · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUmut Meraş · Eyüpspor · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Drăguş · Eyüpspor · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Dele-Bashiru · Gençlerbirliği · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Drăguş · Eyüpspor · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenis Drăguş · Eyüpspor · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUmut Bozok · Eyüpspor · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPrince Ampem · Eyüpspor · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTom Dele-Bashiru · Gençlerbirliği · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDal Varešanović · Gençlerbirliği · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSvit Sešlar · Eyüpspor · 69′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedThalisson Kelven · Gençlerbirliği · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCalegari · Eyüpspor · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Gürler · Eyüpspor · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 11′ · 0.09 xG · on targetM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 12′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 36′ · 0.12 xG · goalSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 40′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMame Thiam · Eyüpspor · 55′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 11′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedYalçın Kayan · Eyüpspor · 64′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMame Thiam · Eyüpspor · 86′ · 0.19 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gençlerbirliği: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.76 xG. Eyüpspor: 20 shots, 2 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Franco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gençlerbirliği 0.76 xG · Eyüpspor 1.29 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eyüpspor's away-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Eyüpspor have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Eyüpspor have a visible away split

weak

Eyüpspor's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eyüpspor have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.3%PossessionGençlerbirliği · Eyüpspor50.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGençlerbirliğiEyüpsporBaseline
Possession39.3%50.5%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gençlerbirliği favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Eyüpspor in 2 · 6 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/60.67 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61.67 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.01 xG/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.71 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/612.2 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/614.7 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/62.5 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/65.5 shots/match
39.3%Possessionseason · 6/650.5%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64.17 corners/match
4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/65.83 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/612 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gençlerbirliği8.3
Eyüpspor58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gençlerbirliği25.9
Eyüpspor25.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gençlerbirliği35.2
Eyüpspor12
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gençlerbirliği75
Eyüpspor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gençlerbirliği36.1
Eyüpspor19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gençlerbirliği41.7
Eyüpspor36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gençlerbirliği33.4
Eyüpspor27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.81 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots5/511.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/52.4 shots/match
39.6%Possession5/548%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.67 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.01 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots6/612.2 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/62.5 shots/match
39.3%Possession6/650.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.67 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.01 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots6/612.2 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/62.5 shots/match
39.3%Possession6/650.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/64.17 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/30.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.04 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots3/314.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target3/32.33 shots/match
39.3%Possession3/353.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/33.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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