Süper Lig · 2025Mon, 15 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeCaykur Didi StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricÇaykur RizesporGençlerbirliği
Shots15 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.17 xG/match1.26 xG/match
Possession49%51%
Corners4 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls22 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Qazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Gençlerbirliği · 8′ · 0.01 xG · on targetM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSamet Akaydın · Çaykur Rizespor · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAltin Zeqiri · Çaykur Rizespor · 65′ · 0.01 xG · on targetŽan Žužek · Gençlerbirliği · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSamed Onur · Gençlerbirliği · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamed Onur · Gençlerbirliği · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHalil Dervişoğlu · Çaykur Rizespor · 5′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedQazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAltin Zeqiri · Çaykur Rizespor · 16′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGiannis Papanikolaou · Çaykur Rizespor · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHusniddin Alikulov · Çaykur Rizespor · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdurrahim Dursun · Gençlerbirliği · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiannis Papanikolaou · Çaykur Rizespor · 71′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 82′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEmrecan Bulut · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 14′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 67′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Jurečka · Çaykur Rizespor · 89′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedHenry Onyekuru · Gençlerbirliği · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Çaykur Rizespor: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.18 xG. Gençlerbirliği: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.18 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Emrecan Bulut · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Çaykur Rizespor 1.18 xG · Gençlerbirliği 1.18 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Çaykur Rizespor have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Çaykur Rizespor have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.3%PossessionÇaykur Rizespor · Gençlerbirliği40.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricÇaykur RizesporGençlerbirliğiBaseline
Possession49.3%40.4%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Çaykur Rizespor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Gençlerbirliği in 0 · 14 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/50.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/51.8 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/50.87 xG/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/51.43 xG/match
11 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/510.6 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/514 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/52.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/53.8 shots/match
49.3%Possessionseason · 4/540.4%
2.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/55 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/54.4 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/511.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/50%
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Çaykur Rizespor52.8
Gençlerbirliği8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Çaykur Rizespor31.5
Gençlerbirliği25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Çaykur Rizespor33.3
Gençlerbirliği33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Çaykur Rizespor47.2
Gençlerbirliği69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Çaykur Rizespor61.1
Gençlerbirliği8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Çaykur Rizespor2.8
Gençlerbirliği55.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Çaykur Rizespor36.8
Gençlerbirliği29.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 5 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/50.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/51.8 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.87 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots4/510.6 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/52.6 shots/match
49.3%Possession4/540.4%
2.5 corners/matchCorners4/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 5 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/50.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/51.8 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.87 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots4/510.6 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/52.6 shots/match
49.3%Possession4/540.4%
2.5 corners/matchCorners4/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 5 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/50.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/51.8 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.87 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots4/510.6 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/52.6 shots/match
49.3%Possession4/540.4%
2.5 corners/matchCorners4/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/511.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/30.67 goals/match
Goals allowed2/31.67 goals/match
Expected goals2/30.68 xG/match
Shots2/310 shots/match
Shots on target2/32.67 shots/match
Possession2/339.3%
Corners2/34.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/314.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 15 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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