Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 16:00 UTCFull timeŞükrü Saracoğlu StadiumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFenerbahçeTrabzonspor
Shots29 shots/match1 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals3.12 xG/match0.04 xG/match
Possession73%27%
Corners9 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

İsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Szymański · Fenerbahçe · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArchie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMert Müldür · Fenerbahçe · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBartuğ Elmaz · Fenerbahçe · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetİrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahçe · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArchie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahçe · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArchie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdin Višća · Trabzonspor · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSebastian Szymański · Fenerbahçe · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMilan Škriniar · Fenerbahçe · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 10′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSebastian Szymański · Fenerbahçe · 49′ · 0.06 xG · on targetİrfan Can Kahveci · Fenerbahçe · 82′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArchie Brown · Fenerbahçe · 25′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMert Müldür · Fenerbahçe · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFred · Fenerbahçe · 28′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Szymański · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.25 xG · on targetYoussef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahçe · 39′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahçe · 49′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fenerbahçe: 28 shots, 8 on target, 2.47 xG. Trabzonspor: 1 shots, 1 on target, 0.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fenerbahçe 2.47 xG · Trabzonspor 0.03 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Fenerbahçe have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Fenerbahçe show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.8 shots/matchShotsFenerbahçe · Trabzonspor9.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFenerbahçeTrabzonsporBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match9.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against7.25 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Fenerbahçe have recorded the higher season possession share.

63%PossessionFenerbahçe · Trabzonspor48.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFenerbahçeTrabzonsporBaseline
Possession63%48.8%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fenerbahçe favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 0 · 14 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/50.8 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/50.4 goals/match
2.09 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/50.93 xG/match
0.53 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/51.24 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/59.8 shots/match
7.25 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/513.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/52.4 shots/match
1.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/53.8 shots/match
63%Possessionseason · 4/548.8%
6 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/52.8 corners/match
1.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/57 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/511.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/560%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fenerbahçe91.7
Trabzonspor41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fenerbahçe86.1
Trabzonspor29.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fenerbahçe91.7
Trabzonspor60.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fenerbahçe80.6
Trabzonspor13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fenerbahçe52.8
Trabzonspor38.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fenerbahçe86.1
Trabzonspor13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fenerbahçe77.8
Trabzonspor25.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 5 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/50.8 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/50.4 goals/match
2.09 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.93 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShots4/59.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/52.4 shots/match
63%Possession4/548.8%
6 corners/matchCorners4/52.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls4/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 5 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/50.8 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/50.4 goals/match
2.09 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.93 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShots4/59.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/52.4 shots/match
63%Possession4/548.8%
6 corners/matchCorners4/52.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls4/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 5 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/50.8 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/50.4 goals/match
2.09 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.93 xG/match
18.8 shots/matchShots4/59.8 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/52.4 shots/match
63%Possession4/548.8%
6 corners/matchCorners4/52.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls4/511.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches
Goals scored2/2
Goals allowed2/2
Expected goals2/2
Shots2/2
Shots on target2/2
Possession2/2
Corners2/2
Cards0/0
Fouls2/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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