Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeKadir Has StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKayserisporGöztepe
Shots8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals0.62 xG/match0.48 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Anthony Junior Dennis · Göztepe · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJanderson · Göztepe · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHéliton · Göztepe · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRhaldney · Göztepe · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 60′ · 0.02 xG · goalJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoão Mendes · Kayserispor · 26′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnthony Junior Dennis · Göztepe · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRhaldney · Göztepe · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetİsmail Köybaşı · Göztepe · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNovatus Miroshi · Göztepe · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnthony Junior Dennis · Göztepe · 16′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJanderson · Göztepe · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEfkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 85′ · 0.05 xG · goalRhaldney · Göztepe · 68′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Mané · Kayserispor · 34′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 52′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJoão Mendes · Kayserispor · 34′ · 0.23 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kayserispor: 8 shots, 6 on target, 0.67 xG. Göztepe: 13 shots, 7 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 60′Efkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kayserispor 0.67 xG · Göztepe 0.47 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Kayserispor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Kayserispor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Kayserispor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/matchShotsKayserispor · Göztepe15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKayserisporGöztepeBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match15.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.75 corners/matchCornersKayserispor · Göztepe5.2 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKayserisporGöztepeBaseline
Corners5.75 corners/match5.2 corners/match4.65 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kayserispor favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Göztepe in 0 · 14 too close

0.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/51.4 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/50.4 goals/match
0.61 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/51.1 xG/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/50.95 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/515.2 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/510.8 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/55.6 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/52.4 shots/match
46.8%Possessionseason · 4/540%
5.75 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/55.2 corners/match
4.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/54.4 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/518.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/560%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kayserispor30.6
Göztepe8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kayserispor29.6
Göztepe81.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kayserispor26.9
Göztepe82.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kayserispor8.3
Göztepe97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kayserispor13.9
Göztepe91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kayserispor80.6
Göztepe63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kayserispor38.9
Göztepe80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 5 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/51.4 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/50.4 goals/match
0.61 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.1 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/515.2 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/55.6 shots/match
46.8%Possession4/540%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/55.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/518.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

4 / 5 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/51.4 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/50.4 goals/match
0.61 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.1 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/515.2 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/55.6 shots/match
46.8%Possession4/540%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/55.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/518.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

4 / 5 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/51.4 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/50.4 goals/match
0.61 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.1 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots4/515.2 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/55.6 shots/match
46.8%Possession4/540%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/55.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls4/518.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches
Goals scored2/32 goals/match
Goals allowed2/30.33 goals/match
Expected goals2/31.07 xG/match
Shots2/315.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/36 shots/match
Possession2/342%
Corners2/36 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/316.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.8 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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