Süper Lig · 2025Wed, 24 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeKadir Has StadiumFull-time recap
04Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKayserisporBeşiktaş
Shots6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match9 shots/match
Expected goals0.4 xG/match2.35 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners4 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Devrim Şahin · Beşiktaş · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 32′ · 0.02 xG · goalAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDevrim Şahin · Beşiktaş · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNurettin Korkmaz · Kayserispor · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMilot Rashica · Beşiktaş · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDevrim Şahin · Beşiktaş · 54′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 37′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 77′ · 0.12 xG · on targetTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 76′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 1′ · 0.27 xG · on targetTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 45′ · 0.29 xG · goalMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 45′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 58′ · 0.35 xG · goalMilot Rashica · Beşiktaş · 65′ · 0.38 xG · on targetRafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 15′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kayserispor: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.66 xG. Beşiktaş: 13 shots, 9 on target, 2.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Rafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 15′Rafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 32′Tammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 45′Rafa Silva · Beşiktaş · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kayserispor 0.66 xG · Beşiktaş 2.35 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Kayserispor. A second useful context is: Kayserispor's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Kayserispor.

4 daysRest daysKayserispor · Beşiktaş5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricKayserisporBeşiktaşBaseline
Rest days4 days5 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Kayserispor have a visible home split

weak

Kayserispor's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Kayserispor show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Kayserispor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/matchShotsKayserispor · Beşiktaş16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKayserisporBeşiktaşBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match16 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match10 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kayserispor favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Beşiktaş in 10 · 3 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/51.4 goals/match
0.62 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/52 xG/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/51.21 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/516 shots/match
13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/510 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/56 shots/match
6.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/53.6 shots/match
47.3%Possessionseason · 6/558%
5.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/57.2 corners/match
5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/54 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/514 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/520%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kayserispor36.1
Beşiktaş86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kayserispor24.1
Beşiktaş84.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kayserispor14.8
Beşiktaş61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kayserispor8.3
Beşiktaş80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kayserispor47.2
Beşiktaş61.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kayserispor58.3
Beşiktaş97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kayserispor38.9
Beşiktaş84
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.65 xG/matchExpected goals5/52 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/516 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/56 shots/match
48.2%Possession5/558%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 5 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/51.4 goals/match
0.62 xG/matchExpected goals6/52 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots6/516 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/56 shots/match
47.3%Possession6/558%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/57.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls6/514 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 5 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/51.4 goals/match
0.62 xG/matchExpected goals6/52 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots6/516 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/56 shots/match
47.3%Possession6/558%
5.17 corners/matchCorners6/57.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls6/514 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match
0.64 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.78 xG/match
7.33 shots/matchShots3/313.7 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/35 shots/match
45.7%Possession3/361%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 24 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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