Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeKadir Has StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKayserisporGençlerbirliği
Shots23 shots/match2 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals2.44 xG/match0.14 xG/match
Possession72%28%
Corners10 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFurkan Soyalp · Kayserispor · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMehmet Eray Özbek · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRamazan Civelek · Kayserispor · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 26′ · 0.04 xG · goalAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAaron Opoku · Kayserispor · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDorukhan Toköz · Kayserispor · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTalha Sariarslan · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 5′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 5′ · 0.17 xG · on targetStefano Denswil · Kayserispor · 28′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 60′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.23 xG · goalIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 60′ · 0.27 xG · on targetDal Varešanović · Gençlerbirliği · 19′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 31′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kayserispor: 23 shots, 6 on target, 2.32 xG. Gençlerbirliği: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Indrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 90′Oğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 26′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kayserispor 2.32 xG · Gençlerbirliği 0.39 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Kayserispor. A second useful context is: Gençlerbirliği's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Kayserispor.

4 daysRest daysKayserispor · Gençlerbirliği8.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricKayserisporGençlerbirliğiBaseline
Rest days4 days8.12 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Gençlerbirliği have a visible away split

weak

Gençlerbirliği's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season9.43 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.43 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Gençlerbirliği show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/matchShotsKayserispor · Gençlerbirliği9.43 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKayserisporGençlerbirliğiBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match9.43 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match16.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kayserispor favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Gençlerbirliği in 3 · 5 too close

0.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/70.71 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/71.43 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/70.81 xG/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.56 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/79.43 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/716.1 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/72.57 shots/match
5.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/73.86 shots/match
50.9%Possessionseason · 7/737.7%
5.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/73.86 corners/match
4.86 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/75.14 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/712.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/714%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kayserispor52.8
Gençlerbirliği2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kayserispor35.2
Gençlerbirliği14.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kayserispor25
Gençlerbirliği28.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kayserispor36.1
Gençlerbirliği47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kayserispor41.7
Gençlerbirliği30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kayserispor69.4
Gençlerbirliği25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kayserispor48.6
Gençlerbirliği19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.84 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots5/58.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
55.8%Possession5/536%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.71 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals7/70.81 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots7/79.43 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/72.57 shots/match
50.9%Possession7/737.7%
5.86 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/70.71 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals7/70.81 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots7/79.43 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target7/72.57 shots/match
50.9%Possession7/737.7%
5.86 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/712.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/40.75 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.54 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots4/48 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/42.25 shots/match
52.3%Possession4/436.5%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/415 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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