Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeEryaman StadyumuFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGençlerbirliğiAlanyaspor
Shots11 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.8 xG/match1 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners7 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Žan Žužek · Gençlerbirliği · 26′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNuno Lima · Alanyaspor · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIanis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Dele-Bashiru · Gençlerbirliği · 73′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 84′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaestro · Alanyaspor · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Kaya · Alanyaspor · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPedro Pereira · Gençlerbirliği · 25′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIanis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 14′ · 0.07 xG · goalM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMetehan Mimaroğlu · Gençlerbirliği · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMeschak Elia · Alanyaspor · 84′ · 0.10 xG · on targetÜmit Akdağ · Alanyaspor · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 48′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedThalisson Kelven · Gençlerbirliği · 19′ · 0.16 xG · on targetKevin Csoboth · Gençlerbirliği · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetIanis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 51′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedHwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 69′ · 0.29 xG · goalŽan Žužek · Gençlerbirliği · 66′ · 0.33 xG · goalM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gençlerbirliği: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.84 xG. Alanyaspor: 12 shots, 6 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Žan Žužek · Gençlerbirliği · 66′M'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 76′Ianis Hagi · Alanyaspor · 14′Hwang Ui-Jo · Alanyaspor · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gençlerbirliği 1.84 xG · Alanyaspor 1.02 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Gençlerbirliği's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Gençlerbirliği show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.63 shots/matchShotsGençlerbirliği · Alanyaspor11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGençlerbirliğiAlanyasporBaseline
Shots9.63 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Gençlerbirliği have a visible home split

weak

Gençlerbirliği's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season9.63 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.63 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gençlerbirliği favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Alanyaspor in 8 · 4 too close

0.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/81.25 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/81.13 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.23 xG/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.71 xG/match
9.63 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/811.1 shots/match
15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/811.3 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/84 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/84.5 shots/match
39.9%Possessionseason · 8/843.1%
4.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/83.25 corners/match
5.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/84.38 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/814.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/875%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gençlerbirliği8.3
Alanyaspor13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gençlerbirliği16.6
Alanyaspor40.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gençlerbirliği29.6
Alanyaspor59.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gençlerbirliği47.2
Alanyaspor52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gençlerbirliği30.6
Alanyaspor69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gençlerbirliği33.3
Alanyaspor8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gençlerbirliği23.6
Alanyaspor38.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.28 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots5/511.8 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match
41.2%Possession5/541.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.25 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.13 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.23 xG/match
9.63 shots/matchShots8/811.1 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/84 shots/match
39.9%Possession8/843.1%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/83.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.1 fouls/matchFouls8/814.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.25 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.13 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.23 xG/match
9.63 shots/matchShots8/811.1 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/84 shots/match
39.9%Possession8/843.1%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/83.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.1 fouls/matchFouls8/814.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/51.6 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/51.6 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.15 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots4/59.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/54 shots/match
43.3%Possession4/543.8%
5 corners/matchCorners4/53 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/514.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.77 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.77 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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