Süper Lig · 2025Mon, 15 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeŞükrü Saracoğlu StadiumFull-time recap
40Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFenerbahçeKonyaspor
Shots17 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals3.29 xG/match0.98 xG/match
Possession53%47%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 17′ · 0.01 xG · on targetYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMert Müldür · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMelih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedrinho · Konyaspor · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Haubert Sityá · Konyaspor · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorten Bjørlo · Konyaspor · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMilan Škriniar · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPedrinho · Konyaspor · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 37′ · 0.05 xG · goalTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOğuz Aydın · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedUğurcan Yazğılı · Konyaspor · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMelih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 82′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMert Müldür · Fenerbahçe · 30′ · 0.20 xG · goalMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 87′ · 0.21 xG · goalUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 72′ · 0.22 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 43′ · 0.24 xG · on targetFred · Fenerbahçe · 44′ · 0.27 xG · on targetKerem Aktürkoğlu · Fenerbahçe · 45′ · 0.62 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 7′ · 0.65 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 28′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fenerbahçe: 17 shots, 9 on target, 3.42 xG. Konyaspor: 17 shots, 5 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Talisca · Fenerbahçe · 28′Mert Müldür · Fenerbahçe · 30′Talisca · Fenerbahçe · 37′Marco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fenerbahçe 3.42 xG · Konyaspor 0.96 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Konyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.38 corners/matchCornersFenerbahçe · Konyaspor5.88 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFenerbahçeKonyasporBaseline
Corners6.38 corners/match5.88 corners/match4.72 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Fenerbahçe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.3 shots/matchShotsFenerbahçe · Konyaspor14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFenerbahçeKonyasporBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Fenerbahçe favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Konyaspor in 0 · 3 too close

2.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/161.25 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.75 goals/match
2.05 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/161.18 xG/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/161.52 xG/match
18.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1614.3 shots/match
9.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1612.6 shots/match
6.81 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.38 shots/match
2.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/164.06 shots/match
59.1%Possessionseason · 16/1652.5%
6.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.88 corners/match
3.56 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/164.56 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1613%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1675%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fenerbahçe91.7
Konyaspor69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fenerbahçe96.3
Konyaspor64.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fenerbahçe92.6
Konyaspor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fenerbahçe91.7
Konyaspor69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fenerbahçe52.8
Konyaspor5.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fenerbahçe97.2
Konyaspor86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fenerbahçe86.1
Konyaspor57.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
2.19 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.09 xG/match
20 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
7.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
55.6%Possession5/551.6%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
2.05 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.12 xG/match
18.9 shots/matchShots10/1014.8 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
56.5%Possession10/1054.2%
6.2 corners/matchCorners10/106.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
2.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.25 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.75 goals/match
2.05 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.18 xG/match
18.3 shots/matchShots16/1614.3 shots/match
6.81 shots/matchShots on target16/164.38 shots/match
59.1%Possession16/1652.5%
6.38 corners/matchCorners16/165.88 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
2.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.25 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/82 goals/match
2.48 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.08 xG/match
21.4 shots/matchShots8/813.5 shots/match
7.75 shots/matchShots on target8/84.5 shots/match
61%Possession8/849.9%
6.63 corners/matchCorners8/85.13 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.9 fouls/matchFouls8/810.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 15 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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