Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeMedas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKonyasporKayserispor
Shots16 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.76 xG/match1.97 xG/match
Possession58%42%
Corners3 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jo Jin-ho · Konyaspor · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedUğurcan Yazğılı · Konyaspor · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedUğurcan Yazğılı · Konyaspor · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStefano Denswil · Kayserispor · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMelih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussef Aït Bennasser · Kayserispor · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 88′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMorten Bjørlo · Konyaspor · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Mané · Kayserispor · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPedrinho · Konyaspor · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFurkan Soyalp · Kayserispor · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFurkan Soyalp · Kayserispor · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMelih İbrahimoğlu · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 63′ · 0.09 xG · goalCarlos Mané · Kayserispor · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalIndrit Tuci · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 28′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 18′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Mané · Kayserispor · 7′ · 0.31 xG · on targetGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 48′ · 0.89 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Konyaspor: 16 shots, 3 on target, 0.73 xG. Kayserispor: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Umut Nayir · Konyaspor · 63′German Onugkha · Kayserispor · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Konyaspor 0.73 xG · Kayserispor 1.99 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Konyaspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Konyaspor's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Konyaspor favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Kayserispor in 0 · 5 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/170.94 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/171.94 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 17/171.03 xG/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 17/171.58 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1711.5 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1714 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/174 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/175.53 shots/match
52.8%Possessionseason · 17/1748%
5.71 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/174.53 corners/match
4.41 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/174.65 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1712.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1712%
76%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Konyaspor69.4
Kayserispor30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Konyaspor63.9
Kayserispor37.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Konyaspor49
Kayserispor15.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Konyaspor69.4
Kayserispor30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor8.3
Kayserispor41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor86.1
Kayserispor38.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Konyaspor58.3
Kayserispor40.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.88 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
51.8%Possession5/544.4%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
10 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.14 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots10/1011.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/104.3 shots/match
55.1%Possession10/1046%
6.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/170.94 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.94 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.03 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots17/1711.5 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target17/174 shots/match
52.8%Possession17/1748%
5.71 corners/matchCorners17/174.53 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.11 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91.67 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.01 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots9/911.2 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target9/94.56 shots/match
55.4%Possession9/945.6%
6.22 corners/matchCorners9/94.11 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.1 fouls/matchFouls9/913.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.77 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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