Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeTüpraş StadyumFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBeşiktaşÇaykur Rizespor
Shots16 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals1.41 xG/match0.82 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners4 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls4 fouls/match4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Loide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Paulista · Beşiktaş · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedQazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedQazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Olawoyin · Çaykur Rizespor · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedQazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiannis Papanikolaou · Çaykur Rizespor · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDemir Ege Tıknaz · Beşiktaş · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTaylan Antalyalı · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIbrahim Olawoyin · Çaykur Rizespor · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedModibo Sagnan · Çaykur Rizespor · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTiago Djaló · Beşiktaş · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedModibo Sagnan · Çaykur Rizespor · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiannis Papanikolaou · Çaykur Rizespor · 61′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHalil Dervişoğlu · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJesurun Rak-Sakyi · Çaykur Rizespor · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMilot Rashica · Beşiktaş · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMilot Rashica · Beşiktaş · 64′ · 0.11 xG · goalVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 7′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJesurun Rak-Sakyi · Çaykur Rizespor · 29′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 53′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 1′ · 0.31 xG · on targetTammy Abraham · Beşiktaş · 21′ · 0.32 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Beşiktaş: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.39 xG. Çaykur Rizespor: 17 shots, 1 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Milot Rashica · Beşiktaş · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Beşiktaş 1.39 xG · Çaykur Rizespor 0.84 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Beşiktaş's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Beşiktaş's recent record differs from the season

weak

Beşiktaş's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Beşiktaş show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Beşiktaş's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/matchShotsBeşiktaş · Çaykur Rizespor12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBeşiktaşÇaykur RizesporBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match14.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Beşiktaş favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Çaykur Rizespor in 2 · 3 too close

1.76 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/171.18 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/171.41 goals/match
1.97 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 17/171.34 xG/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 17/171.31 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/1712.4 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/1714.5 shots/match
5.88 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/173.12 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/174.88 shots/match
52.3%Possessionseason · 17/1749.1%
5.12 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/173.47 corners/match
5.12 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/174.82 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1714.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/1729%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/1771%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Beşiktaş63.9
Çaykur Rizespor41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Beşiktaş80.6
Çaykur Rizespor36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Beşiktaş58.3
Çaykur Rizespor27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Beşiktaş80.6
Çaykur Rizespor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Beşiktaş69.4
Çaykur Rizespor75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Beşiktaş63.9
Çaykur Rizespor2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Beşiktaş73.6
Çaykur Rizespor34.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
2.12 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.44 xG/match
19 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
7.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
53.4%Possession5/547.2%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.94 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.42 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots10/1013.2 shots/match
5.9 shots/matchShots on target10/103 shots/match
51.1%Possession10/1048.5%
4 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 17 matches
1.76 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.18 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.41 goals/match
1.97 xG/matchExpected goals17/171.34 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots17/1712.4 shots/match
5.88 shots/matchShots on target17/173.12 shots/match
52.3%Possession17/1749.1%
5.12 corners/matchCorners17/173.47 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
2.03 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.08 xG/match
16.4 shots/matchShots8/810.6 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target8/82.88 shots/match
53.1%Possession8/844.8%
5.88 corners/matchCorners8/82.75 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.5 fouls/matchFouls8/812.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.23 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Dec 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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