Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeCaykur Didi StadiumFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricÇaykur RizesporEyüpspor
Shots14 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match0 shots/match
Expected goals3.34 xG/match0.33 xG/match
Possession45%55%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls20 fouls/match16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Denis Drăguş · Eyüpspor · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Gürler · Eyüpspor · 4′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLoide Augusto · Çaykur Rizespor · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamet Akaydın · Çaykur Rizespor · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Gürler · Eyüpspor · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMithat Pala · Çaykur Rizespor · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIbrahim Olawoyin · Çaykur Rizespor · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Gürler · Eyüpspor · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMithat Pala · Çaykur Rizespor · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJesurun Rak-Sakyi · Çaykur Rizespor · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEmir Ortakaya · Eyüpspor · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Olawoyin · Çaykur Rizespor · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMame Thiam · Eyüpspor · 64′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSamet Akaydın · Çaykur Rizespor · 52′ · 0.16 xG · goalGiannis Papanikolaou · Çaykur Rizespor · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJesurun Rak-Sakyi · Çaykur Rizespor · 32′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 32′ · 0.68 xG · on targetQazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goalAli Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 81′ · 0.86 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Çaykur Rizespor: 14 shots, 6 on target, 3.38 xG. Eyüpspor: 7 shots, 0 on target, 0.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Qazim Laci · Çaykur Rizespor · 45′Samet Akaydın · Çaykur Rizespor · 52′Ali Sowe · Çaykur Rizespor · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Çaykur Rizespor 3.38 xG · Eyüpspor 0.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Çaykur Rizespor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Çaykur Rizespor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Çaykur Rizespor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Çaykur Rizespor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Çaykur Rizespor have a visible home split

moderate

Çaykur Rizespor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Çaykur Rizespor favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Eyüpspor in 4 · 4 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/160.63 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/161.31 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/161.14 xG/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/161.52 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1611.8 shots/match
14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1612.8 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/163.88 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/164.5 shots/match
49.7%Possessionseason · 16/1651.4%
3.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.19 corners/match
4.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/166.13 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
14.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1612.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
31%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1644%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Çaykur Rizespor47.2
Eyüpspor58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Çaykur Rizespor37.1
Eyüpspor26.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Çaykur Rizespor28.7
Eyüpspor41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Çaykur Rizespor36.1
Eyüpspor13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Çaykur Rizespor80.6
Eyüpspor25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Çaykur Rizespor2.8
Eyüpspor30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Çaykur Rizespor35.4
Eyüpspor33.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.06 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
47.4%Possession5/549.6%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.22 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots10/1011.5 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match
49.5%Possession10/1052%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/160.63 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.31 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals16/161.14 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots16/1611.8 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target16/163.88 shots/match
49.7%Possession16/1651.4%
3.31 corners/matchCorners16/164.19 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 8 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored9/80.38 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed9/81.38 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals9/81 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots9/811.5 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target9/83.25 shots/match
52.9%Possession9/849.1%
4.11 corners/matchCorners9/83.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.4 fouls/matchFouls9/813.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Dec 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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